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Moatable Inc (MTBLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $5.5M · ISIN US7598923008

What is Moatable Inc really worth?

MI Moatable Inc logo Moatable Inc MTBLY · US
Price$0.5357
Fair Value$0.4367
Upside−18.5%
Quality66/100

A solid business, but trading 23% above our fair value of $0.4367.

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Strengths

generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +33.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.8% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3951 – $0.4783

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.4344 to $0.4367 (+0.5%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +14.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4783). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.09 $0.0200 Fair Value $0.4367 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0200 – $24.09 · fair‑value band $0.3951 – $0.4783 · the $0.5357 price screens above the $0.4367 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Moatable Inc (MTBLY) currently trades at $0.5357, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4367, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.37 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $0.5357 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.04, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Moatable Inc generated revenue of $75.2M at a net margin of −1.8%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $25.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3951 (bear case) to $0.4783 (bull case); at $0.5357, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −18%, MTBLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $2.90 $3.30 $4.30 80
Growth DCF $2.86 $3.36 $4.16 77
5Y Revenue Exit $2.82 $3.37 $4.41 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $2.90 $3.30 $4.30 80
5Y Revenue Exit $2.82 $3.37 $4.41 71
10Y Revenue Exit $2.81 $3.42 $4.15 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.76 $3.04 $3.32 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.34 $3.14 $4.69 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.86 $3.36 $4.16 77
Rev-Margin DCF $2.82 $3.43 $4.35 71

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.37) versus Multiples ($3.04). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.07 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.0900
Net margin −3.4% FY2024
Return on equity −5.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −12.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −7.1% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $75.2M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.4% 3y avg +25.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $906K FY2024
Net cash $25.4M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Moatable, Inc. engages in the software as a service business in the United States and internationally. The company develops Chime, an all-in-one real estate sales acceleration and client lifecycle management platform that allows real estate professionals to obtain and nurture leads, close transactions, and retain their clients; and Trucker Path, a …

Full company description

Moatable, Inc. engages in the software as a service business in the United States and internationally. The company develops Chime, an all-in-one real estate sales acceleration and client lifecycle management platform that allows real estate professionals to obtain and nurture leads, close transactions, and retain their clients; and Trucker Path, a driver-centric online transportation management platform to make freight transportation fast, reliable, and efficient. It also provides online and mobile services for the trucking industry in North America. In addition, the company offers bookkeeping and operations management solutions to property managers and landlords. The company was formerly known as Renren Inc. and changed its name to Moatable, Inc. in June 2023. Moatable, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Moatable Inc reported revenue of $63.5M in FY2024 versus $18.1M in FY2020, a compound +36.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.1M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$63.5M
Latest YoY
+21.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +36.8%/yr
FY20 $18.1M
FY21 $32.2M
FY22 $45.8M
FY23 $52.1M
FY24 $63.5M
Net income
FY20 −$19.2M
FY21 −$114M
FY22 −$76.9M
FY23 −$9.0M
FY24 −$2.1M

MTBLY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Moatable Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTBLY

Peer Group

Software - Application · 721 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Above median
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Below median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 80.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE9 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 38
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 −1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 −38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Moatable Inc (MTBLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4367 versus a price of $0.5357, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTBLY?
Our model-based fair value for Moatable Inc is $0.4367 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5357.
What is the quality score of MTBLY?
Moatable Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Moatable Inc (MTBLY)?
Moatable Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $75.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTBLY?
The net profit margin of Moatable Inc is about −1.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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