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Materialise NV (MTLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $390M

MN Materialise NV logo Materialise NV MTLS · US
Price$6.85
Fair Value$2.92
Upside-57.4%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $2.19 – $3.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $2.90 to $2.92 (+0.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$29.92 $4.16 Fair Value $2.92 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.16 – $29.92 · fair‑value band $2.19 – $3.36 · the $6.85 price screens above the $2.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Materialise NV (MTLS) currently trades at $6.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.92, implying the stock looks roughly 57.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Materialise NV generated revenue of $268M at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $67.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.19 (bear case) to $3.36 (bull case); at $6.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -57%, MTLS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.01 $3.82 $4.93 80
Residual Income $2.98 $2.82 $2.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.51 $3.06 $3.74 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.02 $3.91 $5.18 38
Owner Earnings $3.99 $5.41 $7.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.51 $3.05 $3.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.45 $6.86 $9.82 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.11 $4.23 $5.46 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.68 $3.21 $3.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.85 $5.70 $8.40 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.06 $3.98 $5.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8700 $3.42 $4.64 54
Lynch FV $0.8400 $1.21 $1.57 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.8400 $1.21 $1.57 46
EPV $2.06 $2.14 $2.21 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.91 $2.55 $3.19 63
P/S Multiple $1.63 $2.17 $2.71 58
P/B Multiple $1.63 $2.17 $2.71 55
EV/EBIT $2.60 $2.98 $3.36 53
EV/EBITDA $5.77 $7.22 $8.66 54
EV/Revenue $2.22 $2.55 $2.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.20 $2.95 $4.40 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.01 $3.82 $4.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.51 $3.06 $3.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.98 $2.82 $2.17 76
ROIC Compounder $2.06 $2.14 $2.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.46 $2.08 $2.71 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.98) versus Earnings-Based ($1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $268M
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.2%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow $9.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 33.6
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.2000
EPS growth (YoY) +103%
Net cash $67.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Materialise NV provides additive manufacturing and medical software tools, and 3D printing services in the Americas, Europe, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Materialise Software, Materialise Medical, and Materialise Manufacturing.

Full company description

Materialise NV provides additive manufacturing and medical software tools, and 3D printing services in the Americas, Europe, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Materialise Software, Materialise Medical, and Materialise Manufacturing. The Materialise Software segment offers proprietary software through programs and platforms that enable and enhance the functionality of 3D printers, and printing operations. Its software interfaces between various types of 3D printers; and various software applications and capturing technologies, including computer-aided design/computer-aided manufacturing packages and 3D scanners; a MES, software providers. This segment serves 3D printing machine manufacturers; production companies and contract manufacturers in automotive, aerospace, consumer goods, and hearing aid industries; and 3D printing service bureaus through its sales force, website, and third-party distributors. The Materialise Medical segment provides medical software that allows medical-image based analysis, planning, and engineering, as well as patient-specific design and printing of surgical devices and implants. It serves medical device companies, hospitals, universities, research institutes, and industrial companies. The Materialise Manufacturing segment provides 3D printing services, design and engineering services, and rapid prototyping and additive manufacturing of production parts to customers serving the automotive, consumer goods industrial goods, semiconductor, art and architecture and aerospace markets. The company has collaboration agreements with Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.; Encore Medical, L.P.; DePuy Synthes Companies of Johnson & Johnson; Limacorporate Spa; Mathys AG; Smith & Nephew Inc.; Corin Ltd; Medtronic Inc.; and Abbott Laboratories Inc. Materialise NV was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Materialise NV reported revenue of $257M in FY2025 versus $205M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $7.4M in FY2025, compounding −13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$257M
Latest YoY
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 $205M
FY22 $232M
FY23 $256M
FY24 $267M
FY25 $257M
Net income −13.4%/yr
FY21 $13.2M
FY22 −$2.1M
FY23 $6.7M
FY24 $13.4M
FY25 $7.4M

MTLS screens 57% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Materialise NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTLS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.26× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 16 · sector 13
HEALTH 90 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Materialise NV (MTLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.92 versus a price of $6.85, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTLS?
Our model-based fair value for Materialise NV is $2.92 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.85.
What is the quality score of MTLS?
Materialise NV has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Materialise NV (MTLS)?
Materialise NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $268M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTLS?
The net profit margin of Materialise NV is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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