Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $25.2B
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $44.16 to $34.72 (−21.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $26.21 – $41.60 · fair‑value band $26.04 – $43.40 · the $28.43 price screens below the $34.72 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY) currently trades at $28.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.72, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Fudosan Co generated revenue of $2.7T at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at $4.6T. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.04 (bear case) to $43.40 (bull case); at $28.43, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at 22%, MTSFY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates through five segments: Leasing, Property Sales, Management, Facility Operations, and Other. The Leasing segment leases office buildings and retail facilities, and other properties. The Property Sales segment is involved in the sale of condominiums and detached housing to individuals; and rental housing and office buildings and other to investors. The Management segment engages in the property management and brokerage and asset management businesses. The Facility Operations segment is involved in the hotels and resorts, and sports and entertainment businesses. The Other segment engages in the new construction under consignment. The company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mitsui Fudosan Co reported revenue of $2.9T in FY2026 versus $2.1T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $295B in FY2026, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2022.
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Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY | $23.69 | $13.49 | -43% |
| Henderson Land Development Company HLDVF | $3.70 | $2.53 | -32% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 130.90 | CHF 71.28 | -46% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 64.25 THB | 84.32 THB | +31% |
| SM Prime Holdings SPHXF | $0.2801 | $0.4700 | +68% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,381 | ₹972.98 | -30% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.78 | -63% |
| Fastighets AB BALDF | $5.42 | $8.19 | +51% |
| NEPI Rockcastle N.V NRP | €7.99 | €14.07 | +76% |
| Daito Trust Construction Co DIFTY | $4.69 | $7.13 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.