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Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $25.2B

MF Mitsui Fudosan Co logo Mitsui Fudosan Co MTSFY · US
Price$28.43
Fair Value$34.72
Upside+22.1%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: High Range $26.04 – $43.40 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $44.16 to $34.72 (−21.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$41.60 $26.21 Fair Value $34.72 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $26.21 – $41.60 · fair‑value band $26.04 – $43.40 · the $28.43 price screens below the $34.72 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY) currently trades at $28.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.72, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Fudosan Co generated revenue of $2.7T at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at $4.6T. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.04 (bear case) to $43.40 (bull case); at $28.43, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at 22%, MTSFY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7T
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 8.2%
Free cash flow −$96.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.89
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.4%
Net debt $4.6T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates through five segments: Leasing, Property Sales, Management, Facility Operations, and Other. The Leasing segment leases office buildings and retail facilities, and other properties. The Property Sales segment is involved in the sale of condominiums and detached housing to individuals; and rental housing and office buildings and other to investors. The Management segment engages in the property management and brokerage and asset management businesses. The Facility Operations segment is involved in the hotels and resorts, and sports and entertainment businesses. The Other segment engages in the new construction under consignment. The company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsui Fudosan Co reported revenue of $2.9T in FY2026 versus $2.1T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $295B in FY2026, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY22 $2.1T
FY23 $2.3T
FY24 $2.4T
FY25 $2.6T
FY26 $2.9T
Net income +13.7%/yr
FY22 $177B
FY23 $197B
FY24 $225B
FY25 $249B
FY26 $295B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsui Fudosan Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTSFY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.72 versus a price of $28.43, about +22% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MTSFY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui Fudosan Co is $34.72 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.43.
What is the quality score of MTSFY?
Mitsui Fudosan Co has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Mitsui Fudosan Co (MTSFY)?
Mitsui Fudosan Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7T (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTSFY?
The net profit margin of Mitsui Fudosan Co is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsui Fudosan Co pay a dividend?
Mitsui Fudosan Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.