Mega Or (MGOR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Mega Or ILS 87.70, price ILS 499, upside -82.4%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 87.70 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 62/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue YoY +20.4 %/yr)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/13)
✓Wide moat75/100
!Insider activity40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 28.71 ILA to 193.37 ILA
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 47.91 ILA – 687.74 ILA · fair‑value band 28.71 ILA – 193.37 ILA · the 499.10 ILA price screens above the 87.70 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mega Or Holdings Ltd engages in the acquisition, initiation, construction, rental, improvement, management, and maintenance of properties in Israel. Its assets include management and logistics, open commercial, and initiative and development centers. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Modi'in-Maccabim-Re'ut, Israel.
Stock analysis
Mega Or (MGOR) currently trades at 499.10 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 87.70 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 469.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 200.40 ILA per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 499.10 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 51.55 ILA, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 28.71 ILA (bear) to 193.37 ILA (bull), the price of 499.10 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mega Or reported revenue of 334M ILS in FY2025 versus 158M ILS in FY2021, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was 844M ILS in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 21.4B ILA · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 32.2 · EPS (TTM) 39.26 ILA · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 357% · Return on equity 34.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −82%, MGOR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 28.71 ILAFair Value 87.70 ILABull 193.37 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (25.36 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16% vs 23%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.346% → 80%
2025 sits 84% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +43.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)82% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.00× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)12.7× · Pricier than median
P/B1.80× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.26× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF28.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA26.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)50· sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mega Or Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGOR
Frequently asked questions
Is Mega Or (MGOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 87.70 ILA versus a price of 499.10 ILA, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGOR?
Our model-based fair value for Mega Or is 87.70 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 499.10 ILA.
What is the quality score of MGOR?
Mega Or has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mega Or (MGOR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 87.70 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28.71 ILA, optimistic scenario 193.37 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mega Or stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 87.70 ILA, about −82% upside versus a price of 499.10 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 28.71 ILA, optimistic scenario 193.37 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mega Or (MGOR)?
Mega Or reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 408M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mega Or pay a dividend?
Mega Or currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mega Or (MGOR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mega Or would have to grow free cash flow by +46.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGOR use?
Our models discount Mega Or at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.19, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mega Or that is +46.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mega Or (MGOR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mega Or grew +20.2 % a year. The price currently implies +46.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mega Or (MGOR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mega Or (+46.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.36 %: that much free cash flow Mega Or produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mega Or (MGOR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mega Or it is 87.70 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 499.10 ILA. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mega Or stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MGOR trades above its calculated fair value: price 499.10 ILA, fair value 87.70 ILA, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGOR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (499.10 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (87.70 ILA). For Mega Or the two are 411.40 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mega Or worth?
The market values Mega Or at about 21.4B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 499.10 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 87.70 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGOR?
Our models span a range for Mega Or: cautious scenario 28.71 ILA, base 87.70 ILA, optimistic 193.37 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 499.10 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MGOR?
Mega Or trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 87.70 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 17.3, EV/EBITDA 26.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mega Or (MGOR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mega Or (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 34.1%, debt of 1.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGOR from its 52-week high?
Mega Or trades at 499.10 ILA, about 27% below its 52-week high of 687.74 ILA and 214% above the low of 159.14 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 87.70 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mega Or?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mega Or stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 499.10 ILA, calculated fair value 87.70 ILA (−82%), Quality Score 62/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGOR calculated?
We run Mega Or through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 87.70 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mega Or itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 499.10 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 87.70 ILA, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mega Or right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (193.37 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (28.71 ILA to 193.37 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Mega Or (MGOR) come from?
Earnings per share at Mega Or grew +20.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +19.4 %, EBIT margin −4.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mega Or
How large is the market capitalisation of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The market capitalisation of Mega Or is 21.4B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mega Or is 32.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mega Or (MGOR)?
Earnings per share at Mega Or are 39.26 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The dividend yield of Mega Or is 0.9% (payout 11.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The net margin of Mega Or is 357% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mega Or is 34.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mega Or (MGOR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mega Or is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mega Or (MGOR)?
The operating margin of Mega Or is 81.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mega Or (MGOR)?
Revenue at Mega Or is growing −17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mega Or (MGOR)?
Earnings per share at Mega Or are growing +774% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mega Or (MGOR) carry?
The net debt of Mega Or is 4.4B ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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