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NiSource Inc (N1IS34) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$115B

NI NiSource Inc N1IS34 · SA
PriceR$230.68
Fair ValueR$30.70
Upside-86.7%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: High Range R$21.49 – R$41.20 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$245.13 R$206.91 Fair Value R$30.70 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$206.91 – R$245.13 · fair‑value band R$21.49 – R$41.20 · the R$230.68 price screens above the R$30.70 fair value. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NiSource Inc (N1IS34) currently trades at R$230.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$30.70, implying the stock looks roughly 86.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NiSource Inc generated revenue of R$6.8B at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at R$16.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$21.49 (bear case) to R$41.20 (bull case); at R$230.68, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -87%, N1IS34 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$6.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −R$794M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.5
More key figures
Operating margin 34.8%
EPS (TTM) R$10.42
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net debt R$16.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NiSource Inc reported revenue of R$6.6B in FY2025 versus R$5.9B in FY2022, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was R$930M in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY22 R$5.9B
FY23 R$5.5B
FY24 R$5.5B
FY25 R$6.6B
Net income +4.9%/yr
FY22 R$804M
FY23 R$714M
FY24 R$760M
FY25 R$930M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NiSource Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/N1IS34

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.58 €35.79 +25%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.27 $87.09 -49%
Snam S.p.A SRG €6.25 €4.39 -30%
Uniper SE UNPRF $55.20 $58.42 +6%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY $0.8100 $0.5500 -32%
Tokyo Gas Co TKGSF $38.20 $65.41 +71%
Osaka Gas Co OSGSY $69.91 $33.46 -52%
Italgas S.p.A ITGGF $12.50 $10.23 -18%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹177.30 ₹147.58 -17%
APA Group APAJF $7.98 $0.8300 -90%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NiSource Inc (N1IS34) undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$30.70 versus a price of R$230.68, about −87% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of N1IS34?
Our model-based fair value for NiSource Inc is R$30.70 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$230.68.
What is the quality score of N1IS34?
NiSource Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of NiSource Inc (N1IS34)?
NiSource Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$6.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of N1IS34?
The net profit margin of NiSource Inc is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NiSource Inc pay a dividend?
NiSource Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.