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Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CA · Market cap C$10.2M

NT Nubeva Technologies Ltd NBVA · V
PriceC$0.2000
Fair ValueC$0.0500
Upside-75.0%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -126.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range C$0.0300 – C$0.0600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +42.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$0.0300 to C$0.0600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$2.44 C$0.0650 Fair Value C$0.0500 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0650 – C$2.44 · fair‑value band C$0.0300 – C$0.0600 · the C$0.2000 price screens above the C$0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) currently trades at C$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$459K. Revenue grew 123.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.0300 (bear case) to C$0.0600 (bull case); at C$0.2000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 208% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -75%, NBVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0500 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$459K
Revenue growth (YoY) +123%
Net margin -127%
Return on equity -19.0%
Free cash flow −C$537K FY2025
Operating margin -104%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-0.0100

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nubeva Technologies Ltd. engages in the development and licensing of software-based decryption solutions, including Ransomware Reversal for businesses, governments, and other organizations. It engages in the provision of cloud-based security software and services, as well as professional services and TLS (SSL) network decryption solutions.

Full company description

Nubeva Technologies Ltd. engages in the development and licensing of software-based decryption solutions, including Ransomware Reversal for businesses, governments, and other organizations. It engages in the provision of cloud-based security software and services, as well as professional services and TLS (SSL) network decryption solutions. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nubeva Technologies Ltd reported revenue of C$531K in FY2025 versus C$2.0M in FY2021, a compound −27.9%/yr. Reported net income was −C$642K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$531K
Latest YoY
−70.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Revenue −27.9%/yr
FY21 C$2.0M
FY22 C$236K
FY23 C$2.1M
FY24 C$1.8M
FY25 C$531K
Net income
FY21 −C$762K
FY22 −C$3.3M
FY23 −C$1.6M
FY24 −C$1.4K
FY25 −C$642K

NBVA screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nubeva Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NBVA

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -127% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -104% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 123% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 15.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0500 versus a price of C$0.2000, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NBVA?
Our model-based fair value for Nubeva Technologies Ltd is C$0.0500 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.2000.
What is the quality score of NBVA?
Nubeva Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Nubeva Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$459K (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NBVA?
The net profit margin of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is about -126.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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