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Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nubeva Technologies Ltd C$0.05, price C$0.18, upside -71.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CA · ISIN CA67021Y1097

NT Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Nubeva Technologies Ltd

NBVA · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0500 · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -129.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.44 C$0.0650 Fair Value C$0.0500 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0650 – C$2.44 · fair‑value band C$0.0300 – C$0.0600 · the C$0.1750 price screens above the C$0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Nubeva Technologies Ltd. engages in the development and licensing of software-based decryption solutions, including Ransomware Reversal for businesses, governments, and other organizations. It engages in the provision of cloud-based security software and services, as well as professional services and TLS (SSL) network decryption solutions.

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Nubeva Technologies Ltd. engages in the development and licensing of software-based decryption solutions, including Ransomware Reversal for businesses, governments, and other organizations. It engages in the provision of cloud-based security software and services, as well as professional services and TLS (SSL) network decryption solutions. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) currently trades at C$0.1750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 250.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0300 (bear) to C$0.0600 (bull), the price of C$0.1750 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Nubeva Technologies Ltd reported revenue of $501K in FY2026 versus $236K in FY2022, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$650K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$14.7M (≈ $10.4M) · P/S ratio 29.4 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Net margin −130% · Return on equity −22.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −36.6% · Operating margin −240% · Revenue (TTM) $501K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −71%, NBVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0300 Fair Value C$0.0500 Bull C$0.0600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0200 C$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0200 C$0.0400 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.8% (2021) → −149.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NBVA screens 250% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −130% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 74% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 20.81× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $500.59 $550.65 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $192.59 $42.16 −78%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $139.54 $112.26 −20%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $374.57 $114.50 −69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $259.67 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $178.67 $164.68 −8%
Cloudflare, Inc NET $358.82 $15.93 −96%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $413.06 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.68 $101.29 +36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.90 $71.79 −17%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nubeva Technologies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NBVA

Frequently asked questions

Is Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0500 versus a price of C$0.1750, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NBVA?
Our model-based fair value for Nubeva Technologies Ltd is C$0.0500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1750.
What is the quality score of NBVA?
Nubeva Technologies Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0300, optimistic scenario C$0.0600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nubeva Technologies Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0500, about −71% upside versus a price of C$0.1750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0300, optimistic scenario C$0.0600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Nubeva Technologies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $501K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nubeva Technologies Ltd it is C$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.1750. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nubeva Technologies Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NBVA trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1750, fair value C$0.0500, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NBVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0500). For Nubeva Technologies Ltd the two are C$0.1250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nubeva Technologies Ltd worth?
The market values Nubeva Technologies Ltd at about C$14.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1750; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NBVA?
Our models span a range for Nubeva Technologies Ltd: cautious scenario C$0.0300, base C$0.0500, optimistic C$0.0600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.1750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nubeva Technologies Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −22.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NBVA from its 52-week high?
Nubeva Technologies Ltd trades at C$0.1750, about 45% below its 52-week high of C$0.3200 and 59% above the low of C$0.1100 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nubeva Technologies Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nubeva Technologies Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.1750, calculated fair value C$0.0500 (−71%), Quality Score 49/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NBVA calculated?
We run Nubeva Technologies Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nubeva Technologies Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.1750. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0500, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nubeva Technologies Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0300 to C$0.0600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nubeva Technologies Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The market capitalisation of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is C$14.7M (≈ $10.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is 29.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Earnings per share at Nubeva Technologies Ltd are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The net margin of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is −130% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is −22.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is −36.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
The operating margin of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is −240% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA)?
Revenue at Nubeva Technologies Ltd is growing +74.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nubeva Technologies Ltd (NBVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Nubeva Technologies Ltd is −$597K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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