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Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Intercont (Cayman) Limited stock $1.23, price $0.41, upside +200.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US · Based in Hong Kong · ISIN KYG480491110

IC Intercont (Cayman) Limited logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Intercont (Cayman) Limited

NCT · US
Undervalued, but sideways

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $1.23 · Strongly undervalued
Generates free cash flow
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 98% above the price ($0.8106).
Quality 54/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -42.0% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2024 12.3%
Changed on Oct 14: $0.3961 → $1.27
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −21.3 %/yr in USD)
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5,006 $0.4089 Fair Value $1.23 Mar 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $0.4089 – $5,006 · fair‑value band $0.8106 – $1.59 · the $0.4089 price screens below the $1.23 fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Intercont (Cayman) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides maritime shipping services in Hong Kong and internationally. The company offers time charter and vessel management services worldwide. It is also involved in the processing of pulp, paper, and paperboard products.

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Intercont (Cayman) Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT) currently trades at $0.4089, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $5.66 per share, and 21 of the 21 models we run sit above the $0.4089 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.4600, and 0 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.8106 (bear) to $1.59 (bull), the price of $0.4089 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares reported revenue of $25.5M in FY2024 versus $31.3M in FY2022, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.1M in FY2024, compounding −39.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $22.3M · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) $−43.16 · Net margin −42.0% · Return on equity −50.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% (3-year average) · Operating margin −39.9% · Revenue (TTM) $25.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 200%, NCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8106 Fair Value $1.23 Bull $1.59
Price $0.4089 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $5.10 $6.83 $9.89 71
Growth DCF $5.30 $6.96 $9.68 69
EPV $2.46 $2.81 $3.10 68
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.10 $6.83 $9.89 71
5Y Revenue Exit $3.30 $4.24 $5.59 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.81 $8.58 $12.25 65
5Y P/E Exit $3.78 $5.06 $6.61 63
10Y Revenue Exit $3.96 $4.71 $5.46 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.49 $7.31 $9.25 61
10Y P/E Exit $4.29 $5.20 $6.04 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.33 $1.63 $1.83 61
EPV $2.46 $2.81 $3.10 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.09 $4.12 $5.15 63
P/S Multiple $2.39 $3.19 $3.98 58
P/B Multiple $2.30 $3.07 $3.84 55
EV/EBIT $2.63 $3.98 $5.33 62
EV/EBITDA $5.67 $8.04 $10.40 64
EV/Revenue $0.6000 $1.46 $2.32 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.6800 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.30 $6.96 $9.68 69
Rev-Margin DCF $3.30 $4.36 $5.70 64
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.04 $1.20 $1.67 64
ROIC Compounder $2.46 $2.86 $3.22 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.18 $3.11 $4.05 61

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 47
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 97
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 29
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 63
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 221 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −42.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −39.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.3% · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 61
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NCT.US

Frequently asked questions

Is Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.23 versus a price of $0.4089, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NCT?
Our model-based fair value for Intercont (Cayman) Limited is $1.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4089.
What is the quality score of NCT?
Intercont (Cayman) Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8106, optimistic scenario $1.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.23, about +200% upside versus a price of $0.4089 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8106, optimistic scenario $1.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Intercont (Cayman) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intercont (Cayman) Limited it is $1.23 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $0.4089. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, NCT trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4089, fair value $1.23, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4089); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.23). For Intercont (Cayman) Limited the two are $0.8178 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares worth?
The market values Intercont (Cayman) Limited at about $22.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $0.4089; our models calculate a fair value of $1.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NCT?
Our models span a range for Intercont (Cayman) Limited: cautious scenario $0.8106, base $1.23, optimistic $1.59 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $0.4089). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Intercont (Cayman) Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −50.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NCT from its 52-week high?
Intercont (Cayman) Limited trades at $0.4089, about 100% below its 52-week high of $615.62 and at the low of $0.4089 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $0.4089, calculated fair value $1.23 (+200%), Quality Score 54/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NCT calculated?
We run Intercont (Cayman) Limited through 21 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.23 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Intercont (Cayman) Limited currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $0.4089. Our model-based fair value is $1.23, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intercont (Cayman) Limited Ordinary shares right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8106). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.8106 to $1.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Intercont (Cayman) Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The market capitalisation of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is $22.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Earnings per share at Intercont (Cayman) Limited are $−43.16. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The net margin of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is −42.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is −50.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is 12.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
The operating margin of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is −39.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Revenue at Intercont (Cayman) Limited is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT)?
Earnings per share at Intercont (Cayman) Limited are growing +36.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT) generate?
The free cash flow of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is $6.5M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Intercont (Cayman) Limited (NCT) carry?
The net debt of Intercont (Cayman) Limited is $22.6M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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