N.D. Rubber Public Company (NDR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 813M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.08 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.9957 THB – 3.90 THB · fair‑value band 0.6460 THB – 1.08 THB · the 1.74 THB price screens above the 0.8670 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
N.D. Rubber Public Company (NDR) currently trades at 1.74 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8670 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, N.D. Rubber Public Company generated revenue of 964M THB at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 136M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6460 THB (bear case) to 1.08 THB (bull case); at 1.74 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -50%, NDR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.44 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.5000 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
N.D. Rubber Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motorcycle tires and tubes in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Tires, Tubes, Battery, Rubber Part, Shoe, and Other Products segments.
Full company description
N.D. Rubber Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motorcycle tires and tubes in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Tires, Tubes, Battery, Rubber Part, Shoe, and Other Products segments. The company manufactures and distributes rubber and synthetic products for automobiles and motorcycles; distributes batteries for automobiles and motorcycles, as well as provides related services; and distributes bicycle tires and tubes, as well as distributes footwear. It also produces and distributes electricity from solar energy, including testing, inspection, repairing, and certification services for electrical components and electronic devices. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Chonburi, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
N.D. Rubber Public Company reported revenue of 937M THB in FY2025 versus 841M THB in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 21.1M THB in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
NDR screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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