Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk IDR 280, price IDR 197, upside +42.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk provides shipping services in Indonesia. It operates through Vessel leasing services (Charter), Shipyard & Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers ship rental services, such as freight and time charter systems and shipping consulting services.
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PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk provides shipping services in Indonesia. It operates through Vessel leasing services (Charter), Shipyard & Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers ship rental services, such as freight and time charter systems and shipping consulting services. It also provides shipbuilding, maintenance, and repair services, as well as engages in tugboats, barge, and container ship, and shipyard activities. In addition, the company engages in domestic and international shipping, sea, and transportation services for general and special goods; manufacturing, maintenance, and repair of tugs and barges; power generation electricity, alternative and gas power generation industry; shipping; oil and gas transportation, and marine vessel rental services; chartering of ships and vessels; wholesale and retail trade, repair and maintenance of motor vehicles and motorcycles; manufacturing; electricity supply; and construction. PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Haskojaya Abadi.
Stock analysis
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) currently trades at 197.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 280.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 287.61 IDR per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the 197.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 127.09 IDR, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 200.54 IDR (bear) to 280.17 IDR (bull), the price of 197.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported revenue of 393B IDR in FY2025 versus 199B IDR in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was 39.8B IDR in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 463B IDR (≈ $25.9M) · P/E ratio 7.1 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 27.87 IDR · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 42%, NELY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 200.54 IDRFair Value 280.17 IDRBull 280.17 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (20.46 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs 5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 12%
Compare Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+41% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−30% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−60% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 280.17 IDR versus a price of 197.00 IDR, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NELY?
Our model-based fair value for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 280.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 197.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NELY?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 280.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 280.17 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 280.17 IDR, about +42% upside versus a price of 197.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 280.17 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 324B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk pay a dividend?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk it is 280.17 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 197.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NELY trades below its calculated fair value: price 197.00 IDR, fair value 280.17 IDR, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NELY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (197.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (280.17 IDR). For Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk the two are 83.17 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk worth?
The market values Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk at about 463B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 197.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 280.17 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NELY?
Our models span a range for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk: cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, base 280.17 IDR, optimistic 280.17 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 197.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NELY?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 280.17 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NELY from its 52-week high?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk trades at 197.00 IDR, about 60% below its 52-week high of 496.15 IDR and 15% above the low of 172.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 280.17 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 197.00 IDR, calculated fair value 280.17 IDR (+42%), Quality Score 35/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NELY calculated?
We run Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 280.17 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 197.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 280.17 IDR, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) come from?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk grew +25.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.5 %, EBIT margin +11.1 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The market capitalisation of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 463B IDR (≈ $25.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk are 27.87 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The dividend yield of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 4.9% (payout 34.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The net margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 16.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The operating margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −30.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Revenue at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is growing −60.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk are growing −94.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) generate?
The free cash flow of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −95.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) carry?
The net debt of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 142B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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