EN DE

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 484B IDR

PP PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk NELY · JK
Price198.00 IDR
Fair Value287.61 IDR
Upside+45.3%
Quality35/100
Watch PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range 215.71 IDR – 359.52 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 317.37 IDR to 287.61 IDR (−9.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (215.71 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

533.19 IDR 95.75 IDR Fair Value 287.61 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 95.75 IDR – 533.19 IDR · fair‑value band 215.71 IDR – 359.52 IDR · the 198.00 IDR price screens below the 287.61 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) currently trades at 198.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 287.61 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk generated revenue of 324B IDR at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue declined 60.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at 142B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 215.71 IDR (bear case) to 359.52 IDR (bull case); at 198.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 45%, NELY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 300.18 IDR 303.49 IDR 287.12 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 136.02 IDR 166.51 IDR 193.61 IDR 72
Gordon GGM 96.19 IDR 166.28 IDR 255.08 IDR 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 115.05 IDR 265.01 IDR 340.12 IDR 54
PEG = 1.0 44.53 IDR 63.61 IDR 82.70 IDR 46
EPV 136.02 IDR 166.51 IDR 193.61 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 96.19 IDR 166.28 IDR 255.08 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 96.19 IDR 144.17 IDR 199.88 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 266.47 IDR 355.29 IDR 444.11 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 215.71 IDR 287.61 IDR 359.52 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 215.71 IDR 287.61 IDR 359.52 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 208.01 IDR 289.59 IDR 371.18 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 559.72 IDR 758.54 IDR 957.36 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 137.94 IDR 212.81 IDR 287.67 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 195.23 IDR 261.61 IDR 390.46 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 300.18 IDR 303.49 IDR 287.12 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 136.02 IDR 166.51 IDR 193.61 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 200.54 IDR 286.49 IDR 372.43 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (287.61 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (144.17 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Notify me when NELY reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 324B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -60.2%
Net margin -2.2%
Return on equity -0.6%
Free cash flow −95.5B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 6.5
More key figures
Operating margin -30.1%
EPS (TTM) 27.87 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -94.2%
Net debt 142B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 6
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk provides shipping services in Indonesia. It operates through Vessel leasing services (Charter), Shipyard & Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers ship rental services, such as freight and time charter systems and shipping consulting services.

Full company description

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk provides shipping services in Indonesia. It operates through Vessel leasing services (Charter), Shipyard & Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers ship rental services, such as freight and time charter systems and shipping consulting services. It also provides shipbuilding, maintenance, and repair services, as well as engages in tugboats, barge, and container ship, and shipyard activities. In addition, the company engages in domestic and international shipping, sea, and transportation services for general and special goods; manufacturing, maintenance, and repair of tugs and barges; power generation electricity, alternative and gas power generation industry; shipping; oil and gas transportation, and marine vessel rental services; chartering of ships and vessels; wholesale and retail trade, repair and maintenance of motor vehicles and motorcycles; manufacturing; electricity supply; and construction. PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Haskojaya Abadi.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported revenue of 393B IDR in FY2025 versus 199B IDR in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was 39.8B IDR in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
393B IDR
Latest YoY
−19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Revenue +18.5%/yr
FY21 199B IDR
FY22 310B IDR
FY23 522B IDR
FY24 490B IDR
FY25 393B IDR
Net income −6.2%/yr
FY21 51.4B IDR
FY22 126B IDR
FY23 229B IDR
FY24 241B IDR
FY25 39.8B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +25.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.5 pp

of which total revenue +10.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +11.1 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch NELY: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NELY

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -60% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 91 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

Compare PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 287.61 IDR versus a price of 198.00 IDR, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NELY?
Our model-based fair value for PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 287.61 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 198.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NELY?
PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 324B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NELY?
The net profit margin of PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is about -2.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.