Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock IDR 280, price IDR 161, upside +74.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 139.73 IDR – 533.19 IDR · fair‑value band 200.54 IDR – 288.93 IDR · the 161.00 IDR price screens below the 280.19 IDR fair value. As of Nov 3, 2026.
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PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk provides shipping services in Indonesia. It operates through Vessel leasing services (Charter), Shipyard & Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers ship rental services, such as freight and time charter systems and shipping consulting services.
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It also provides shipbuilding, maintenance, and repair services, as well as engages in tugboats, barge, and container ship, and shipyard activities.
In addition, the company engages in domestic and international shipping, sea, and transportation services for general and special goods; manufacturing, maintenance, and repair of tugs and barges; power generation electricity, alternative and gas power generation industry; shipping; oil and gas transportation, and marine vessel rental services; chartering of ships and vessels; wholesale and retail trade, repair and maintenance of motor vehicles and motorcycles; manufacturing; electricity supply; and construction.
PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Haskojaya Abadi.
Stock analysis
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) currently trades at 161.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 280.19 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 43% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 321.45 IDR per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the 161.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 54.57 IDR, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 200.54 IDR (bear) to 288.93 IDR (bull), the price of 161.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported revenue of 393B IDR in FY2025 versus 199B IDR in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was 39.8B IDR in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 378B IDR (≈ $21.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) 27.87 IDR · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −13.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 74%, NELY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear200.54 IDRFair Value 280.19 IDRBull288.93 IDR
Price 161.00 IDR · Upside +74.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (23.90 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: −5.0% / 5.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 12%
Compare Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+74.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−8.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−13.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−41.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 280.19 IDR versus a price of 161.00 IDR, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NELY?
Our model-based fair value for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 280.19 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 161.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NELY?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 280.19 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 288.93 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 280.19 IDR, about +74% upside versus a price of 161.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 288.93 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 283B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk pay a dividend?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 5.59% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk has a dividend yield of 5.6%.
What is the intrinsic value of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk it is 280.19 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 161.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, NELY trades below its calculated fair value: price 161.00 IDR, fair value 280.19 IDR, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NELY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (161.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (280.19 IDR). For Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk the two are 119.19 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk worth?
The market values Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk at about 378B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 161.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 280.19 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NELY?
Our models span a range for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk: cautious scenario 200.54 IDR, base 280.19 IDR, optimistic 288.93 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 161.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −2.4%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NELY from its 52-week high?
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk trades at 161.00 IDR, about 68% below its 52-week high of 496.15 IDR and 2% above the low of 158.00 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 280.19 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 161.00 IDR, calculated fair value 280.19 IDR (+74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NELY calculated?
We run Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 280.19 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk currently trades 43% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 161.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 280.19 IDR, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (200.54 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) come from?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk grew +25.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.5 %, EBIT margin +11.1 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The market capitalisation of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 378B IDR (≈ $21.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 1.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk are 27.87 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The dividend yield of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 5.6% (payout 32.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The net margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 16.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
The operating margin of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Revenue at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is growing −41.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY)?
Earnings per share at Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk are growing −95.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) generate?
The free cash flow of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is −95.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY) carry?
The net debt of Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk is 142B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 3, 2026