Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., (NEMAKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 9.0B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.6900 MXN to 1.38 MXN (+100.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −7.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.96 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (0.8200 MXN to 1.96 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.66 MXN – 7.59 MXN · fair‑value band 0.8200 MXN – 1.96 MXN · the 3.13 MXN price screens above the 1.38 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., (NEMAKA) currently trades at 3.13 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.38 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 55.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., generated revenue of 5.1B MXN at a net margin of -1.5%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.7%. Net debt stands at 1.3B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.8200 MXN (bear case) to 1.96 MXN (bull case); at 3.13 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -56%, NEMAKA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.60 MXN) versus Earnings-Based (0.1300 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells aluminum components for e-mobility, structure and chassis, and ICE powertrain applications to the automotive industry in North America, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells aluminum components for e-mobility, structure and chassis, and ICE powertrain applications to the automotive industry in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company provides ICE powertrain components, such as cylinder heads, engine blocks, oil pans, and transmission cases; and vehicle structures and chassis products, including lift gates, longitudinal members, support brackets, A-pillars, cradles, e-brackets, shock towers, and subframes. It also offers e-mobility components comprising e-motor, and battery housings for hybrid and electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Tenedora Nemak, S. A. de C. V. and changed its name to Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. in June 2015. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in García, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V., reported revenue of 4.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 185M MXN in FY2021, a compound +127.3%/yr. Reported net income was −116M MXN in FY2025.
of which total revenue +29.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
NEMAKA screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 511,000 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +26% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,142 MXN | +2% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹169.50 | ₹80.63 | -52% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹46,750 | ₹13,061 | -72% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,082 | ₹393.20 | -81% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,232 | ₹426.57 | -65% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,126 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 71,500 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +175% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹799.90 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
| Balkrishna Industries Limited BALKRISIND | ₹2,497 | ₹1,211 | -51% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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