North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited stock THB 7.41, price THB 4.70, upside +57.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?Yes
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?Yes
Meets all three buy rules
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.55 THB – 5.82 THB · fair‑value band 3.44 THB – 10.86 THB · the 4.70 THB price screens below the 7.41 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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North East Rubber Public Company Limited manufactures and sells rubber products in Thailand. It offers rubber smoked sheets, skim block rubbers, mixtures rubber, ribbed smoked, and standard Thai rubbers primarily for the automotive industry.
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The company also exports its products to Singapore, China, Japan, Cambodia, and India. North East Rubber Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Prakhon Chai, Thailand.
Stock analysis
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) currently trades at 4.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.41 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 21.21 THB per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 4.70 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.79 THB, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.44 THB (bear) to 10.86 THB (bull), the price of 4.70 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited reported revenue of 30.2B THB in FY2025 versus 24.4B THB in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 8.7B THB (≈ $258M) Micro · P/E ratio 6.2 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) 0.7600 THB · Dividend yield 6.6% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at 58%, NER screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3.44 THBFair Value 7.41 THBBull10.86 THB
Price 4.70 THB · Upside +57.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3723 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.7% vs 34.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.1% a year for the price and +2.0% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 726 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+57.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "North East Rubbers Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NER
Frequently asked questions
Is North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.41 THB versus a price of 4.70 THB, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NER?
Our model-based fair value for North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 7.41 THB (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.70 THB.
What is the quality score of NER?
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.41 THB (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.44 THB, optimistic scenario 10.86 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the North East Rubbers Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.41 THB, about +58% upside versus a price of 4.70 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3.44 THB, optimistic scenario 10.86 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.3B THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does North East Rubbers Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 6.60% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, North East Rubbers Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NER use?
Our models discount North East Rubbers Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For North East Rubbers Public Company Limited that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.75 %: that much free cash flow North East Rubbers Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For North East Rubbers Public Company Limited it is 7.41 THB per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 4.70 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is North East Rubbers Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, NER trades below its calculated fair value: price 4.70 THB, fair value 7.41 THB, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.70 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.41 THB). For North East Rubbers Public Company Limited the two are 2.71 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is North East Rubbers Public Company Limited worth?
The market values North East Rubbers Public Company Limited at about 8.7B THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 4.70 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 7.41 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NER?
Our models span a range for North East Rubbers Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 3.44 THB, base 7.41 THB, optimistic 10.86 THB per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 4.70 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NER?
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7.41 THB is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 4.9 (reported for FY2025: 4.6). Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Balance-sheet figures for North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NER from its 52-week high?
North East Rubbers Public Company Limited trades at 4.70 THB, about 5% below its 52-week high of 4.96 THB and 22% above the low of 3.86 THB (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.41 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to North East Rubbers Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Givaudan SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is North East Rubbers Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 4.70 THB, calculated fair value 7.41 THB (+58%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NER calculated?
We run North East Rubbers Public Company Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.41 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. North East Rubbers Public Company Limited currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 4.70 THB. Our model-based fair value is 7.41 THB, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with North East Rubbers Public Company Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (3.44 THB to 10.86 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) come from?
Earnings per share at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited grew +42.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.4 %, EBIT margin +4.8 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The market capitalisation of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 8.7B THB (≈ $258M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Earnings per share at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited are 0.7600 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The dividend yield of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 6.6% (payout 43.6%, on adjusted earnings, reported 40.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The net margin of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
The operating margin of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Revenue at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER)?
Earnings per share at North East Rubbers Public Company Limited are growing −21.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does North East Rubbers Public Company Limited (NER) carry?
The net debt of North East Rubbers Public Company Limited is 9.9B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026