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Nextensa NV (NEXTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BE · Market cap €452M

NN Nextensa NV NEXTA · BR
Price€44.64
Fair Value€55.92
Upside+25.3%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 28.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.23% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range €41.94 – €58.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −4.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
  • Our model range runs from €41.94 (bear) to €58.63 (bull), base €55.92. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€71.83 €34.79 Fair Value €55.92 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €34.79 – €71.83 · fair‑value band €41.94 – €58.63 · the €44.64 price screens below the €55.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nextensa NV (NEXTA) currently trades at €44.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €55.92, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nextensa NV generated revenue of €118M at a net margin of 28.1%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at €593M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €41.94 (bear case) to €58.63 (bull case); at €44.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 25%, NEXTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €58.35 €56.10 €46.20 76
Gordon GGM €5.73 €10.32 €14.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.73 €9.43 €11.03 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.73 €10.32 €14.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.73 €9.43 €11.03 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple €41.94 €55.92 €69.90 58
P/B Multiple €41.94 €55.92 €69.90 55
EV/EBIT €34.82 €58.28 €81.74 53
EV/EBITDA €20.53 €39.22 €57.91 54
EV/Revenue €3.26 €19.89 €36.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €41.84 €56.07 €83.68 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €58.35 €56.10 €46.20 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€56.10) versus Dividend Discount (€9.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €118M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.9%
Net margin 28.1%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow −€82.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.7
More key figures
Operating margin 33.7%
EPS (TTM) €3.27
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.5%
Net debt €593M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nextensa NV/SA is a leading real estate investor and developer creating sustainable and vibrant spaces for living, working and shopping, with a focus on generating value for all stakeholders.

Full company description

Nextensa NV/SA is a leading real estate investor and developer creating sustainable and vibrant spaces for living, working and shopping, with a focus on generating value for all stakeholders. It was established as a regulated Belgian real estate company under the name Leasinvest Real Estate before becoming, in 2021, a mixed real estate investor and developer following a merger with Extensa. Nextensa holds a unique market position by combining recurring rental income from real estate investments with the added-value potential of development activities in which authenticity and sustainability are paramount. Nextensa manages a high-quality investment portfolio with a focus on office and retail. In addition, the company is committed to sustainable urban development, realising innovative and forward-looking projects that contribute to a pleasant and mixed living environment. One of its most prominent developments is the redevelopment of the iconic Tour & Taxis site in Brussels, an ambitious project that brings together living, working and leisure in a dynamic and green urban environment. Nextensa is a listed integrated real estate group, listed on Euronext Brussels and active in Luxembourg, Belgium and Austria. Nextensa NV/SA was incorporated in 1999 in Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nextensa NV reported revenue of €147M in FY2025 versus €94.8M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was €33.2M in FY2025, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€147M
Latest YoY
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+45.9%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 €94.8M
FY22 €136M
FY23 €120M
FY24 €134M
FY25 €147M
Net income −11.1%/yr
FY21 €53.2M
FY22 €71.3M
FY23 €24.5M
FY24 −€10.8M
FY25 €33.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nextensa NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEXTA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +25% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.42× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 8.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 13
FUTURE 65 · sector 13
PAST 16 · sector 20
HEALTH 78 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 45 · sector 97

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nextensa NV (NEXTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €55.92 versus a price of €44.64, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NEXTA?
Our model-based fair value for Nextensa NV is €55.92 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €44.64.
What is the quality score of NEXTA?
Nextensa NV has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nextensa NV (NEXTA)?
Nextensa NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €118M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEXTA?
The net profit margin of Nextensa NV is about 28.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nextensa NV pay a dividend?
Nextensa NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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