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Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nordic Flanges Group AB SEK 18.11, price SEK 30.60, upside -40.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · SE · ISIN SE0001994658

NF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Nordic Flanges Group AB

NFGAB · ST

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 18.11 · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 122.00 kr 6.80 Fair Value kr 18.11 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 6.80 – kr 122.00 · fair‑value band kr 16.17 – kr 19.91 · the kr 30.60 price screens above the kr 18.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Nordic Flanges Group AB (publ) manufactures and sells industrial flanges in Sweden, the rest of the Nordic region, the United States, and internationally. The company provides flanges in stainless steel, carbon steel, special alloys, titanium, and aluminum; welding necks and rings; and loose flanges.

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Nordic Flanges Group AB (publ) manufactures and sells industrial flanges in Sweden, the rest of the Nordic region, the United States, and internationally. The company provides flanges in stainless steel, carbon steel, special alloys, titanium, and aluminum; welding necks and rings; and loose flanges. The company was formerly known as Vinovo AB (publ) and changed its name to Nordic Flanges Group AB (publ) in March 2015. Nordic Flanges Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) currently trades at kr 30.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 18.11, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 86.91 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 30.60 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 5.03, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 16.17 (bear) to kr 19.91 (bull), the price of kr 30.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Nordic Flanges Group AB reported revenue of 228M SEK in FY2025 versus 191M SEK in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.5M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 70.2M SEK (≈ $7.1M) · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.3300 · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin 5.7% · Revenue (TTM) 227M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 287% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −41%, NFGAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 16.17 Fair Value kr 18.11 Bull kr 19.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 82.41 kr 110.57 kr 161.10 81
Growth DCF kr 85.67 kr 112.80 kr 157.74 79
Owner Earnings kr 65.09 kr 86.91 kr 126.07 77
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 82.41 kr 110.57 kr 161.10 81
Owner Earnings kr 65.09 kr 86.91 kr 126.07 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 42.74 kr 49.65 kr 59.49 74
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 64.91 kr 88.02 kr 118.65 76
10Y Revenue Exit kr 58.00 kr 64.51 kr 70.53 68
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 71.45 kr 87.70 kr 104.47 70
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 16.17 kr 17.86 kr 19.33 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 22.16 kr 27.73 kr 33.30 66
EV/EBITDA kr 61.33 kr 79.96 kr 98.59 67
EV/Revenue kr 17.37 kr 22.49 kr 27.60 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.75 kr 5.03 kr 7.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 85.67 kr 112.80 kr 157.74 79
Rev-Margin DCF kr 42.74 kr 51.51 kr 63.34 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 16.17 kr 18.11 kr 19.91 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.8% (2020) → 1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.6% a year for the price.

NFGAB screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

Compare Nordic Flanges Group AB with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €167.40 €109.36 −35%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nordic Flanges Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NFGAB

Frequently asked questions

Is Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 18.11 versus a price of kr 30.60, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NFGAB?
Our model-based fair value for Nordic Flanges Group AB is kr 18.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 30.60.
What is the quality score of NFGAB?
Nordic Flanges Group AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 18.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 16.17, optimistic scenario kr 19.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nordic Flanges Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 18.11, about −41% upside versus a price of kr 30.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 16.17, optimistic scenario kr 19.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Nordic Flanges Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 227M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nordic Flanges Group AB would have to grow free cash flow by -3.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NFGAB use?
Our models discount Nordic Flanges Group AB at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nordic Flanges Group AB that is -3.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nordic Flanges Group AB grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies -3.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nordic Flanges Group AB (-3.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.78 %: that much free cash flow Nordic Flanges Group AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nordic Flanges Group AB it is kr 18.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 30.60. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nordic Flanges Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NFGAB trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 30.60, fair value kr 18.11, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NFGAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 30.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 18.11). For Nordic Flanges Group AB the two are kr 12.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nordic Flanges Group AB worth?
The market values Nordic Flanges Group AB at about 70.2M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 30.60; our models calculate a fair value of kr 18.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NFGAB?
Our models span a range for Nordic Flanges Group AB: cautious scenario kr 16.17, base kr 18.11, optimistic kr 19.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 30.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nordic Flanges Group AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.9%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NFGAB from its 52-week high?
Nordic Flanges Group AB trades at kr 30.60, at its 52-week high of kr 30.60 and 287% above the low of kr 7.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 18.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nordic Flanges Group AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nordic Flanges Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 30.60, calculated fair value kr 18.11 (−41%), Quality Score 59/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NFGAB calculated?
We run Nordic Flanges Group AB through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 18.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nordic Flanges Group AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 30.60. Our model-based fair value is kr 18.11, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nordic Flanges Group AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 19.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Nordic Flanges Group AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The market capitalisation of Nordic Flanges Group AB is 70.2M SEK (≈ $7.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nordic Flanges Group AB is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Earnings per share at Nordic Flanges Group AB are kr −0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The net margin of Nordic Flanges Group AB is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nordic Flanges Group AB is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nordic Flanges Group AB is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
The operating margin of Nordic Flanges Group AB is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Revenue at Nordic Flanges Group AB is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB)?
Earnings per share at Nordic Flanges Group AB are growing +85.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nordic Flanges Group AB (NFGAB) carry?
The net debt of Nordic Flanges Group AB is 25.4M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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