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NHK Spring Co (NHK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of NHK Spring Co €14.93, price €19.20, upside -22.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Home Japan · ISIN JP3742600004

In Frankfurt, only 0 of the last 21 trading days (30 days) had any turnover. On the other days the price is an indicative quote without trading, so we do not list this stock in the radar. It stays reachable through search.

NS Broad data Sep 30, 2026

NHK Spring Co

NHK · F

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €14.93 · Overvalued (−22.2%)
!Quality 59/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.1% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Weak on valuation: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€22.38 €4.80 Fair Value €14.93 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.80 – €22.38 · fair‑value band €11.81 – €18.77 · the €19.20 price screens above the €14.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

NHK Spring Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive parts in Japan, rest of Asia, America, Europe, and internationally.

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NHK Spring Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive parts in Japan, rest of Asia, America, Europe, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Automotive Suspension Springs Business, Automotive Seating Business, Precision Springs and Components Business, DDS Business, and Industrial Machinery and Equipment and Other Operations Business. The company offers coil and leaf springs, stabilizer bars and links, accumulators, torsion bars, and stabilinkers; automobile seats, mechanical components for seats, and interior components; HDD mechanical components, wire and flat springs, motor cores, fasteners/screws, and precision machine components. It also provides HDD suspensions and semiconductor testing probe units; and semiconductor process and spring components, ceramic products, piping support equipment, integrated metal substrates, parking equipment, security products, lighting fixtures, golf shafts, and electronic remote control for ships. In addition, the company offers hollow and solid stabilizers; bush bonding; spring grid arrays; medical bellows; flexible joints; door sunshades; tonneau covers; bolts; chain tensioners; control cables; brake discs; assist and tension balancers; lock hinges; top covers; disk clamps; base plates; stage heaters; cooling plates; shower heads; micro contractors; test sockets; probe heads; direct bonded insulator circuits; anti-counterfeit labels; distribution control authenticity judgment and machine recognition hologram systems; pipe clamps; SD and UK park; parking system with EV chargers; turnouts; rail fastening devices; synthetic rail tiles; and metal bats for baseball and softball. The company was formerly known as Shibaura Spring Manufacturing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NHK Spring Co., Ltd. in 1939. NHK Spring Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Stock analysis

NHK Spring Co (NHK) currently trades at €19.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.93, 22.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €17.22 per share, and 4 of the 25 models we run sit above the €19.20 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €5.13, and 21 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €11.81 (bear) to €18.77 (bull), the price of €19.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

NHK Spring Co reported revenue of ¥817B in FY2026 versus ¥587B in FY2022, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥27.9B in FY2026, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €3.9B · P/E ratio 25.3 · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) €0.7600 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −22%, NHK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €11.81 Fair Value €14.93 Bull €18.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €12.37 €16.40 €21.85 81
Growth DCF €12.64 €16.39 €21.25 80
Owner Earnings €7.03 €8.92 €11.47 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €12.37 €16.40 €21.85 81
Owner Earnings €7.03 €8.92 €11.47 78
5Y Revenue Exit €12.84 €18.29 €24.98 73
5Y EBITDA Exit €16.45 €24.67 €33.80 75
5Y P/E Exit €13.04 €18.65 €24.18 71
10Y Revenue Exit €12.25 €16.99 €22.78 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €14.76 €21.18 €29.03 69
10Y P/E Exit €12.69 €17.22 €22.22 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €5.26 €11.78 €15.05 65
PEG = 1.0 €1.91 €2.73 €3.55 57
EPV €12.04 €13.58 €14.90 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.58 €5.65 €7.88 68
DDM Multi-Stage €3.58 €5.13 €6.80 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €12.77 €17.03 €21.29 63
P/S Multiple €9.87 €13.16 €16.45 58
P/B Multiple €9.87 €13.16 €16.45 55
EV/EBIT €19.48 €25.20 €30.92 66
EV/EBITDA €21.37 €27.72 €34.07 67
EV/Revenue €13.88 €18.84 €23.80 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.08 €8.15 €12.16 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €12.64 €16.39 €21.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF €12.84 €18.41 €24.30 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income €9.62 €9.96 €10.76 76
ROIC Compounder €12.04 €13.98 €16.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €9.51 €13.58 €17.66 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+29.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.27.3% vs 2.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.6% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.3%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2031 (sales)+4.2%

NHK screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.1% · Above median
Return on assets 4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 19.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)41 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)41 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥52.47 ¥78.11 +49%
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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.71 ₹96.97 −41%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $126.95 $57.98 −54%
Magna International Inc MGA $64.46 $69.37 +8%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥46.44 ¥28.28 −39%

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NHK Spring Co · Fair Value
€14.93 −22%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NHK Spring Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NHK

Frequently asked questions

Is NHK Spring Co (NHK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.93 versus a price of €19.20, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NHK?
Our model-based fair value for NHK Spring Co is €14.93 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €19.20.
What is the quality score of NHK?
NHK Spring Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €14.93 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.81, optimistic scenario €18.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NHK Spring Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €14.93, about −22% upside versus a price of €19.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €11.81, optimistic scenario €18.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
NHK Spring Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥833B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does NHK Spring Co pay a dividend?
NHK Spring Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NHK Spring Co would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NHK use?
Our models discount NHK Spring Co at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NHK Spring Co that is +6.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NHK Spring Co (NHK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NHK Spring Co grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies +6.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NHK Spring Co (NHK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NHK Spring Co (+6.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.15 %: that much free cash flow NHK Spring Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NHK Spring Co it is €14.93 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of €19.20. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NHK Spring Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, NHK trades above its calculated fair value: price €19.20, fair value €14.93, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NHK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€19.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€14.93). For NHK Spring Co the two are €4.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NHK Spring Co worth?
The market values NHK Spring Co at about €3.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is €19.20; our models calculate a fair value of €14.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NHK?
Our models span a range for NHK Spring Co: cautious scenario €11.81, base €14.93, optimistic €18.77 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price €19.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NHK?
NHK Spring Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.3 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €14.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Balance-sheet figures for NHK Spring Co (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NHK from its 52-week high?
NHK Spring Co trades at €19.20, about 14% below its 52-week high of €22.38 and 60% above the low of €12.02 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €14.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NHK Spring Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NHK Spring Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price €19.20, calculated fair value €14.93 (−22%), Quality Score 59/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NHK calculated?
We run NHK Spring Co through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €14.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NHK Spring Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €19.20. Our model-based fair value is €14.93, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NHK Spring Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€18.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of NHK Spring Co

How large is the market capitalisation of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The market capitalisation of NHK Spring Co is €3.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NHK Spring Co is 0.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Earnings per share at NHK Spring Co are €0.7600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The dividend yield of NHK Spring Co is 2.1% (payout 51.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The net margin of NHK Spring Co is 3.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NHK Spring Co is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NHK Spring Co is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
The operating margin of NHK Spring Co is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Revenue at NHK Spring Co is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NHK Spring Co (NHK)?
Earnings per share at NHK Spring Co are growing +75.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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