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Nikon Corporation (NINOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.4B

NC Nikon Corporation logo Nikon Corporation NINOY · US
Price$13.96
Fair Value$8.14
Upside-41.7%
Quality51/100
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Evidence: Low Range $6.27 – $10.00

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $44.37 to $8.14 (−81.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$14.66 $9.08 Fair Value $8.14 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $9.08 – $14.66 · fair‑value band $6.27 – $10.00 · the $13.96 price screens above the $8.14 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Nikon Corporation (NINOY) currently trades at $13.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.14, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nikon Corporation generated revenue of $677B at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.0%. Net debt stands at $62.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.27 (bear case) to $10.00 (bull case); at $13.96, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -42%, NINOY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $677B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin -12.7%
Return on equity -14.0%
Free cash flow −$43.4B FY2026
Operating margin -0.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.63
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +262%
Net debt $62.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Nikon Corporation manufactures and sells optical instruments in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and internationally. The company operates through Imaging Products Business, Precision Equipment Business, Healthcare Business, Components Business, and Digital Manufacturing Business segments. The Imaging Products Business segment provides digital camera-interchangeable lens type, compact DSC and interchangeable lens. The Precision Equipment Business segment offers FPD lithography system and semiconductor lithography system. The Healthcare Business segment provides products and services for the life science solutions field, such as biological microscopes, for the eye care solutions field such as ultra-wide field retinal imaging devices, and for the contract cell development and manufacturing field. The Components Business segment offers industrial microscopes, measuring instruments, X-ray, CT inspections systems; and optical components, optical parts, and encoders; …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nikon Corporation reported revenue of $718B in FY2026 versus $540B in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$91.3B in FY2026.

Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY22 $540B
FY23 $628B
FY24 $717B
FY25 $715B
FY26 $718B
Net income
FY22 $42.7B
FY23 $44.9B
FY24 $32.6B
FY25 $6.1B
FY26 −$91.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nikon Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NINOY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nikon Corporation (NINOY) undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.14 versus a price of $13.96, about −42% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NINOY?
Our model-based fair value for Nikon Corporation is $8.14 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.96.
What is the quality score of NINOY?
Nikon Corporation has a Quality Score of 51/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nikon Corporation (NINOY)?
Nikon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $677B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NINOY?
The net profit margin of Nikon Corporation is about -12.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nikon Corporation pay a dividend?
Nikon Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.