Nikon Corporation (NINOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $44.37 to $8.14 (−81.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $9.08 – $14.66 · fair‑value band $6.27 – $10.00 · the $13.96 price screens above the $8.14 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Nikon Corporation (NINOY) currently trades at $13.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.14, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nikon Corporation generated revenue of $677B at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.0%. Net debt stands at $62.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.27 (bear case) to $10.00 (bull case); at $13.96, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -42%, NINOY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nikon Corporation manufactures and sells optical instruments in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and internationally. The company operates through Imaging Products Business, Precision Equipment Business, Healthcare Business, Components Business, and Digital Manufacturing Business segments. The Imaging Products Business segment provides digital camera-interchangeable lens type, compact DSC and interchangeable lens. The Precision Equipment Business segment offers FPD lithography system and semiconductor lithography system. The Healthcare Business segment provides products and services for the life science solutions field, such as biological microscopes, for the eye care solutions field such as ultra-wide field retinal imaging devices, and for the contract cell development and manufacturing field. The Components Business segment offers industrial microscopes, measuring instruments, X-ray, CT inspections systems; and optical components, optical parts, and encoders; …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nikon Corporation reported revenue of $718B in FY2026 versus $540B in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$91.3B in FY2026.
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Recent news
- [Latest] Global Metrology Market Size/Share Worth USD 21.9 Billion by 2035 at a 5.8% CAGR: Custom Market Insights (Analysis, Outlook, Leader
- ASML’s Chip Dominance Runs Into New Silicon Boundaries
- Nikon to price chip equipment lower than ASML: report
- Is Nikon (TSE:7731) Quietly Recasting Its Industrial Identity Through This New Aeva Sensor Tie‑Up?
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.