NIO Inc (NION) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 232B MXN
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from 5.29 MXN to 93.24 MXN (+1,662.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 63.97 MXN – 145.51 MXN · fair‑value band 69.97 MXN – 116.68 MXN · the 92.54 MXN price screens below the 93.24 MXN fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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NIO Inc (NION) currently trades at 92.54 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 93.24 MXN — implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NIO Inc generated revenue of 101B MXN at a net margin of -9.1%. Revenue grew 112.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -84.0%. Net debt stands at 2.7B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 69.97 MXN (bear case) to 116.68 MXN (bull case); at 92.54 MXN, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside — at 1%, NION screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for power valet service. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, car beauty, and inspection services through its service centers and authorized third-party service centers; vehicle transportation and delivery, pre-delivery inspections, guidance on vehicle features, assistance with vehicle registration, and insurance processing services; insurance, maintenance, repairs, accident rescue, car washing, chauffeur services, and valet parking …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NIO Inc reported revenue of 87.5B MXN in FY2025 versus 49.3B MXN in FY2022, a compound +21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −15.6B MXN in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mahindra & Mahindra Limited MHID | $0.3205 | $0.6300 | +97% |
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $169.73 | $201.26 | +19% |
| VOW3 VOW3 | €87.66 | €102.86 | +17% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$67.90 | HK$42.60 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 511,000 KRW | 793,325 KRW | +55% |
| Tesla, Inc TSLA | 39,580 ARS | 29,518 ARS | -25% |
| General Motors Company GM | 1,456 MXN | 864.84 MXN | -41% |
| Ford Motor Company FMC1 | €12.56 | €16.17 | +29% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 1,917 MXN | +0% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €306.20 | €181.80 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.