NANKAI Co (NNKEF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.8B
NANKAI Co
NNKEF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $15.68 to $15.43 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($14.49 to $29.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range $15.19 – $17.09 · fair‑value band $14.49 – $29.39 · the $16.50 price screens above the $15.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
NANKAI Co (NNKEF) currently trades at $16.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.43, implying the stock looks roughly 6.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NANKAI Co generated revenue of $265B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $433B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.49 (bear case) to $29.39 (bull case); at $16.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -6%, NNKEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,949) versus Asset-Based ($2,065). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NANKAI Co., Ltd. operates as a railway company in Japan. It operates through Transportation Business, Real Estate Business, Distribution Business, Leisure and Services Business, Construction Business, and Other Business.
Full company description
NANKAI Co., Ltd. operates as a railway company in Japan. It operates through Transportation Business, Real Estate Business, Distribution Business, Leisure and Services Business, Construction Business, and Other Business. The Transportation business operates railways, tramways, and buses, as well as ocean freight, cargo transportation, and vehicle maintenance business. The Real Estate business leases commercial and office buildings, condominiums, facilities under elevated railway facilities, parking lots, etc. The Distribution business manages shopping centers, convenience stores, dining and drinking establishments and retail shops. The Leisure and Services segment is involved in the management of amusement park; rental of motorboat racing facilities; and operates hotels and ryokan Japanese inns. This segment also offers travel agency and funeral services; building management and maintenance; and other services. The Construction segment involved in the construction, civil engineering, architecture, and electrical work. The company was formerly known as Nankai Electric Railway Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NANKAI Co., Ltd. in April 2026. The company was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
NANKAI Co reported revenue of $265B in FY2026 versus $202B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $25.1B in FY2026, compounding +58.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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