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NORMA Group (NOEJ) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €526M

NG NORMA Group NOEJ · XETRA
Price€18.86
Fair Value€21.72
Upside+15.2%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 28.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.75% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range €8.84 – €34.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €10.86 to €21.72 (+100.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€8.84 to €34.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from €8.84 (bear) to €34.62 (bull), base €21.72. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 45/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€41.24 €8.83 Fair Value €21.72 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €8.83 – €41.24 · fair‑value band €8.84 – €34.62 · the €18.86 price screens below the €21.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

NORMA Group (NOEJ) currently trades at €18.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.72, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NORMA Group generated revenue of €825M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.9%. Net debt stands at €305M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.84 (bear case) to €34.62 (bull case); at €18.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 15%, NOEJ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €16.26 €19.76 €25.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF €15.92 €22.08 €29.94 74
Gordon GGM €3.45 €4.08 €4.70 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €15.89 €19.54 €26.36 38
5Y Revenue Exit €15.92 €21.73 €30.51 39
10Y Revenue Exit €15.45 €20.20 €25.54 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.45 €4.08 €4.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage €3.45 €4.36 €5.37 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue €17.08 €23.53 €29.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.83 €13.17 €19.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €16.26 €19.76 €25.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF €15.92 €22.08 €29.94 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (€23.53) versus Dividend Discount (€4.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €813M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.7%
Net margin 28.6%
Return on equity -12.7%
Free cash flow €47.4M FY2025
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-3.13
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.1%
Net debt €305M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NORMA Group SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered joining technology solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides quick connectors, pipe clamps, plastic connectors, retain and fix solutions.

Full company description

NORMA Group SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered joining technology solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides quick connectors, pipe clamps, plastic connectors, retain and fix solutions. It sells its products to distributors, specialized wholesalers, smaller industrial sectors, original equipment manufacturers, doit-yourself stores under the ABA, Breeze, Clamp-All, CONNECTORS, Gemi, NORMA, R.G.RAY, Serflex, and TORCA brand names. In addition, it provides water and thermal management. Further, the company's products are used in automotive, commercial vehicle and aviation industries, the infrastructure and industrial project business, shipbuilding and mechanical engineering, as well as the drinking water and irrigation industries and agriculture markets. NORMA Group SE was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Maintal, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NORMA Group reported revenue of €822M in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€81.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€822M
Latest YoY
−28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+4.3%
Revenue −6.9%/yr
FY21 €1.1B
FY22 €1.2B
FY23 €1.2B
FY24 €1.2B
FY25 €822M
Net income
FY21 €55.9M
FY22 €39.1M
FY23 €27.8M
FY24 €14.7M
FY25 −€81.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NORMA Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOEJ

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.01× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 35
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is NORMA Group (NOEJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.72 versus a price of €18.86, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NOEJ?
Our model-based fair value for NORMA Group is €21.72 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €18.86.
What is the quality score of NOEJ?
NORMA Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NORMA Group (NOEJ)?
NORMA Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €825M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOEJ?
The net profit margin of NORMA Group is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NORMA Group pay a dividend?
NORMA Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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