Nippon Sharyo, Ltd (NPPSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $414M

A solid business, screening 53% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($22.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.04 – $29.10 · fair‑value band $22.46 – $32.09 · the $21.04 price screens below the $32.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd (NPPSF) currently trades at $21.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.09, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Sharyo, Ltd generated revenue of $100.0B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $31.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.46 (bear case) to $32.09 (bull case); at $21.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 53%, NPPSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($75.52) versus Earnings-Based ($21.38). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. engages in the railway vehicles, construction machinery, transportation equipment and steel structures, engineering, and other businesses in Japan, the United States, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. engages in the railway vehicles, construction machinery, transportation equipment and steel structures, engineering, and other businesses in Japan, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers electric trains, diesel railcars, hybrid cars, and passenger cars; and bullet, intercity and express, suburban and commuter, and exported train, as well as metro and subway, AGT, LRV, and monorail. It also provides pile drivers, full rotary tubing equipment, earth drills, obstacle removal machines; pilling, soil stabilizing, mini piling, earth drilling rigs, as well as casing rotator and crawler crane; and tank trucks, tank trailers, tank containers, storage tanks, large land vehicle carriers, unmanned guided vehicles, and freight cars. In addition, the company manufactures, sells, and erects new road and railway bridges, as well as machinery and equipment for railway operators, agricultural plants, and paper-related equipment; and provides repairs and maintenance of existing bridges. The company was incorporated in 1896 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan. Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. is a subsidiary of Central Japan Railway Company.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd reported revenue of $96.3B in FY2025 versus $99.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $6.4B in FY2025, compounding −5.2%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Railroads · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.