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Noble Roman's, Inc (NROM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $12.2M

NR Noble Roman's, Inc logo Noble Roman's, Inc NROM · US
Price$0.7000
Fair Value$0.9200
Upside+31.4%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $0.4000 – $1.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +20.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.4000 to $1.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.9000 $0.1400 Fair Value $0.9200 Feb 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1400 – $0.9000 · fair‑value band $0.4000 – $1.25 · the $0.7000 price screens below the $0.9200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Noble Roman's, Inc (NROM) currently trades at $0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 31.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Noble Roman's, Inc generated revenue of $16.5M at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 21.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.6%. Net debt stands at $5.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4000 (bear case) to $1.25 (bull case); at $0.7000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 400% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 31%, NROM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1500 $0.2600 $0.3900 80
Residual Income $0.2800 $0.4000 $2.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2500 $0.5200 $0.8300 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1400 $0.2700 $0.4200 38
Owner Earnings $0.5500 $0.8200 $1.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2500 $0.5200 $0.8600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7200 $1.38 $2.13 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.3500 $0.7000 $1.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1800 $0.3900 $0.6600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.4500 $0.8900 $1.46 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.2500 $0.5000 $0.7800 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3600 $0.9200 $1.20 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.1700 $0.2500 $0.3200 46
EPV $0.5800 $0.6800 $0.7600 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.8700 $1.16 $1.45 63
P/S Multiple $0.6700 $0.8900 $1.11 58
P/B Multiple $0.4600 $0.6200 $0.7700 55
EV/EBIT $1.50 $2.08 $2.66 53
EV/EBITDA $1.41 $1.96 $2.51 54
EV/Revenue $0.3700 $0.6400 $0.9000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1000 $0.1500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1500 $0.2600 $0.3900 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2500 $0.5200 $0.8300 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2800 $0.4000 $2.41 76
ROIC Compounder $0.6100 $0.7500 $0.8900 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.6700 $0.9600 $1.25 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.9600) versus Asset-Based ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $16.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.1%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 41.6%
Free cash flow $1.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.8
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +193%
Net debt $5.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Noble Roman's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, sells and services franchises in the United States. It also licenses and operates company-owned stand-alone restaurants and non-traditional foodservice operations under the Noble Roman's Craft Pizza & Pub, Noble Roman's Pizza, Noble Roman's Take-N-Bake, and Tuscano's Italian Style Subs brand names.

Full company description

Noble Roman's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, sells and services franchises in the United States. It also licenses and operates company-owned stand-alone restaurants and non-traditional foodservice operations under the Noble Roman's Craft Pizza & Pub, Noble Roman's Pizza, Noble Roman's Take-N-Bake, and Tuscano's Italian Style Subs brand names. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Noble Roman's, Inc reported revenue of $16.5M in FY2025 versus $13.9M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2M in FY2025, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.5M
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 $13.9M
FY22 $14.5M
FY23 $14.4M
FY24 $15.1M
FY25 $16.5M
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY21 $509K
FY22 −$1.3M
FY23 $1.5M
FY24 −$3.2K
FY25 $1.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Noble Roman's, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NROM

Peer Group

Restaurants · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +31% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.79× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.99× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 75 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 100 · sector 16
HEALTH 11 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $105.49 $35.83 -66%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $34.63 $18.43 -47%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $163.54 $59.66 -64%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.19 C$36.37 -65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $195.74 $173.68 -11%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $43.90 $55.10 +26%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $197.03 $104.89 -47%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $68.36 $12.80 -81%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $322.18 $231.96 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Noble Roman's, Inc (NROM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9200 versus a price of $0.7000, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NROM?
Our model-based fair value for Noble Roman's, Inc is $0.9200 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7000.
What is the quality score of NROM?
Noble Roman's, Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Noble Roman's, Inc (NROM)?
Noble Roman's, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NROM?
The net profit margin of Noble Roman's, Inc is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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