Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust $0.29, price $0.22, upside +34.9%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1005 – $0.2300 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.3700 · the $0.2150 price screens below the $0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau.
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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company invests in other types of port assets, such as river ports; and undertakes various port ancillary services, including trucking, feedering, freight forwarding, supply chain management, warehousing, and distribution services. Hutchison Port Holdings Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) currently trades at $0.2150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.5700 per share, and 21 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.2150 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1200, and 1 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2200 (bear) to $0.3700 (bull), the price of $0.2150 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust reported revenue of HK$11.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$748M in FY2025, compounding −19.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B · P/E ratio 21.5 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 44.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 35%, NS8U screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2200Fair Value $0.2900Bull $0.3700
Price $0.2150 · Upside +34.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF$0.6400$0.8800$1.2781
Growth DCF$0.6700$0.8900$1.2379
Owner Earnings$0.4300$0.6000$0.880076
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$0.6400$0.8800$1.2781
Owner Earnings$0.4300$0.6000$0.880076
5Y Revenue Exit$0.3500$0.4800$0.660073
5Y EBITDA Exit$0.8500$1.34$1.9874
5Y P/E Exit$0.3200$0.4200$0.540072
10Y Revenue Exit$0.4700$0.5700$0.670068
10Y EBITDA Exit$0.7500$1.06$1.3869
10Y P/E Exit$0.4600$0.5400$0.610065
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.1000$0.1200$0.130067
EPV$0.3800$0.4500$0.510074
Multiples
P/E Multiple$0.2200$0.2900$0.370063
P/S Multiple$0.1800$0.2400$0.300058
P/B Multiple$0.1800$0.2400$0.300055
EV/EBIT$0.9400$1.30$1.6666
EV/EBITDA$1.20$1.64$2.0867
EV/Revenue$0.1500$0.2700$0.380052
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$0.2300$0.3100$0.470053
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$0.6700$0.8900$1.2379
Rev-Margin DCF$0.3500$0.5000$0.690073
Economic Profit
Residual Income$0.3200$0.3100$0.310076
ROIC Compounder$0.3800$0.4500$0.520072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$0.1600$0.2200$0.290067
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.1% vs 6.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 39%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.5% a year for the price and +2.0% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+31.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.3% · Below median
Return on assets4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)44.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)53.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hutchison Port Holdings Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NS8U
Frequently asked questions
Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2900 versus a price of $0.2150, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NS8U?
Our model-based fair value for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is $0.2900 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2150.
What is the quality score of NS8U?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2900 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.3700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hutchison Port Holdings Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2900, about +35% upside versus a price of $0.2150 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.3700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$12.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust would have to grow free cash flow by -11.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NS8U use?
Our models discount Hutchison Port Holdings Trust at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hutchison Port Holdings Trust that is -11.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies -11.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (-11.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 39.04 %: that much free cash flow Hutchison Port Holdings Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hutchison Port Holdings Trust it is $0.2900 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $0.2150. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, NS8U trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2150, fair value $0.2900, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NS8U?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2900). For Hutchison Port Holdings Trust the two are $0.0750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust worth?
The market values Hutchison Port Holdings Trust at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $0.2150; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NS8U?
Our models span a range for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust: cautious scenario $0.2200, base $0.2900, optimistic $0.3700 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $0.2150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NS8U?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.5 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 3.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NS8U from its 52-week high?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust trades at $0.2150, about 7% below its 52-week high of $0.2300 and 26% above the low of $0.1710 (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hutchison Port Holdings Trust?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $0.2150, calculated fair value $0.2900 (+35%), Quality Score 64/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NS8U calculated?
We run Hutchison Port Holdings Trust through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Hutchison Port Holdings Trust currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was $0.2150. Our model-based fair value is $0.2900, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hutchison Port Holdings Trust right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The market capitalisation of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Earnings per share at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The net margin of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
The operating margin of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is 44.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Revenue at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Earnings per share at Hutchison Port Holdings Trust are growing +85.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) carry?
The net debt of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is HK$15.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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