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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap $1.6B · ISIN SG2D00968206

HP Hutchison Port Holdings Trust NS8U · SG
Price$0.2000
Fair Value$0.2500
Upside+25.0%
Quality62/100
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Strengths

✓Trades 20% below our fair value of $0.2500
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Moderate moat 53/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.6 %/yr)
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2500 – $0.2900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +4.2% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 20% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.2300 $0.1005 Fair Value $0.2500 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1005 – $0.2300 · fair‑value band $0.2500 – $0.2900 · the $0.2000 price screens below the $0.2500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust generated revenue of $11.9B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at $15.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2500 (bear case) to $0.2900 (bull case); at $0.2000, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 25%, NS8U screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.55 $4.75 $6.61 80
Residual Income $1.94 $1.84 $1.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.93 $2.80 $3.91 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.41 $4.68 $6.81 38
Owner Earnings $2.11 $2.98 $4.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.93 $2.69 $3.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.98 $7.95 $11.88 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.72 $2.32 $3.05 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.53 $3.11 $3.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.25 $6.08 $8.04 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.45 $2.90 $3.30 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5800 $0.7100 $0.8000 54
EPV $2.36 $2.78 $3.14 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.35 $1.80 $2.25 63
P/S Multiple $1.10 $1.46 $1.83 58
P/B Multiple $1.10 $1.46 $1.83 55
EV/EBIT $5.79 $7.98 $10.17 53
EV/EBITDA $7.36 $10.07 $12.78 54
EV/Revenue $0.9200 $1.64 $2.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.43 $1.91 $2.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.55 $4.75 $6.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.93 $2.80 $3.91 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.94 $1.84 $1.43 76
ROIC Compounder $2.36 $2.78 $3.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.9600 $1.36 $1.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2.98) versus Earnings-Based ($0.7100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 20.0
P/S ratio 1.29 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.0100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0
Net margin 6.4% FY2025
Return on equity 5.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 41.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.7% 3y avg -1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.5B FY2025
Net debt $15.6B FY2025 · ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau.

Full company description

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company invests in other types of port assets, such as river ports; and undertakes various port ancillary services, including trucking, feedering, freight forwarding, supply chain management, warehousing, and distribution services. Hutchison Port Holdings Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust reported revenue of HK$11.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$748M in FY2025, compounding −19.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.6B
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−2.1% (-2.1 + 0.0)
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 HK$13.2B
FY22 HK$12.0B
FY23 HK$10.3B
FY24 HK$11.2B
FY25 HK$11.6B
Net income −19.1%/yr
FY21 HK$1.7B
FY22 HK$1.1B
FY23 HK$233M
FY24 HK$650M
FY25 HK$748M

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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust · Fair Value
$0.2500 +25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hutchison Port Holdings Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NS8U

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 239 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE67 · sector 33
FUTURE0 · sector 22
PAST24 · sector 27
HEALTH69 · sector 89
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,714 ₹1,041 -39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 -3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 -23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥17.11 ¥49.90 +192%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €133.00 €88.00 -34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.39 ¥5.58 +65%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2500 versus a price of $0.2000, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NS8U?
Our model-based fair value for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is $0.2500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2000.
What is the quality score of NS8U?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U)?
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NS8U?
The net profit margin of Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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