Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ntaw Holdings Ltd A$0.27, price A$0.20, upside +32.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1600 – A$1.54 · fair‑value band A$0.1626 – A$0.4291 · the A$0.2000 price screens below the A$0.2652 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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NTAW Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, markets and distributes motor vehicle tires, wheels, tubes, and related products in Australia, New Zealand, and South Africa.
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NTAW Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, markets and distributes motor vehicle tires, wheels, tubes, and related products in Australia, New Zealand, and South Africa. Its products include truck and bus tires; 4WD, SUV, and light truck tires; agricultural, off-the-road, and construction vehicles tires; 4WD wheels; industrial tires; original equipment tires and wheels; and budget tires. The company was formerly known as National Tyre & Wheel Limited and changed its name to NTAW Holdings Limited in April 2024. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Australia.
Stock analysis
Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) currently trades at A$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2652, implying the stock looks roughly 24.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$2.01 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.3300, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1626 (bear) to A$0.4291 (bull), the price of A$0.2000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ntaw Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$538M in FY2025 versus A$462M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$43.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$31.6M (≈ $22.2M) · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Net margin −8.1% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin −1.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$506M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 33%, NTD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.1626Fair Value A$0.2652Bull A$0.4291
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.3% (2020) → −0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2652 versus a price of A$0.2000, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NTD?
Our model-based fair value for Ntaw Holdings Ltd is A$0.2652 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2000.
What is the quality score of NTD?
Ntaw Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2652 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1626, optimistic scenario A$0.4291. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ntaw Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2652, about +33% upside versus a price of A$0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1626, optimistic scenario A$0.4291. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Ntaw Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$506M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ntaw Holdings Ltd it is A$0.2652 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2000. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ntaw Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NTD trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2000, fair value A$0.2652, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NTD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2652). For Ntaw Holdings Ltd the two are A$0.0652 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ntaw Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Ntaw Holdings Ltd at about A$31.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2652 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NTD?
Our models span a range for Ntaw Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1626, base A$0.2652, optimistic A$0.4291 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ntaw Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −12.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NTD from its 52-week high?
Ntaw Holdings Ltd trades at A$0.2000, about 41% below its 52-week high of A$0.3400 and 25% above the low of A$0.1600 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2652 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ntaw Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ntaw Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2000, calculated fair value A$0.2652 (+33%), Quality Score 37/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NTD calculated?
We run Ntaw Holdings Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2652, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ntaw Holdings Ltd currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2652, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ntaw Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1626 to A$0.4291). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) come from?
Earnings per share at Ntaw Holdings Ltd grew −7.6 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.8 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −22.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ntaw Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The market capitalisation of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is A$31.6M (≈ $22.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is 0.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Earnings per share at Ntaw Holdings Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The net margin of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is −8.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
The operating margin of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Revenue at Ntaw Holdings Ltd is growing −12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD)?
Earnings per share at Ntaw Holdings Ltd are growing −86.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) generate?
The free cash flow of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is A$23.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ntaw Holdings Ltd (NTD) carry?
The net debt of Ntaw Holdings Ltd is A$130M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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