Nutanix, Inc (NTNX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $14.8B
Nutanix, Inc
NTNX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.28 to $10.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.75 – $83.07 · fair‑value band $5.28 – $10.29 · the $60.12 price screens above the $7.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nutanix, Inc (NTNX) currently trades at $60.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.79, implying the stock looks roughly 87.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nutanix, Inc generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. Net debt stands at $713M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 56.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.28 (bear case) to $10.29 (bull case); at $60.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -87%, NTNX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($32.73) versus Dividend Discount ($2.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa.
Full company description
Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. It offers hyperconverged infrastructure software; Nutanix Cloud Platform, which is designed to enable organizations to build hybrid multicloud infrastructure; Nutanix cloud infrastructure, is a distributed HCI for enterprise IT applications, includes Nutanix AOS; Nutanix AHV; Nutanix data services for Kubernetes; flow network security; flow virtual networking provides software-defined networking with multi-tenant isolation; Nutanix Cloud Clusters; Nutanix central provides management of the Nutanix hybrid multicloud environment; and Nutanix prism, is the unified control plane and UI; Nutanix Cloud Manager, is a unified management solution; NCM Intelligent Operations; NCM Self-Service and Orchestration; NCM Cost Governance; and Nutanix Security Central unifies cloud security operations. In addition, the company offers Nutanix Kubernetes Platform, which is an enterprise-grade Kubernetes platform to accelerate app development without lock-in; Nutanix Unified Storage; Nutanix Files Storage, is a software-defined scale-out file storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage, is a scale-out S3-compatible object storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage; Nutanix Volumes Block Storage, is a software-defined storage solution; Nutanix Data Lens, is a cloud-based cyber resilience service; Nutanix Database Service; Nutanix Enterprise AI, is a centralized inferencing control plane; and GPT-in-a-Box is a full-stack help provide consistent data services for structured and unstructured data. Further, it provides product support, and consulting and implementation services. The company serves financial services, retail, manufacturing, public sector, automotive and other transportation, consumer goods, education, energy, healthcare, media, technology, and telecommunications industries. The company has a strategic alliance with NetApp, Inc. to integrate NetApp Intelligent Data Infrastructure built on
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nutanix, Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was $188M in FY2025.
NTNX screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Trending Stock Nutanix (NTNX) a Buy Now?
- Cloud Monitoring Stocks Q1 In Review: Nutanix (NASDAQ:NTNX) Vs Peers
- Nutanix (NTNX) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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