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Nutanix Inc (NTNX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Nutanix Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US67059N1081

NI Nutanix Inc logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Nutanix Inc

NTNX · US

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $39.15 · Strongly overvalued (−44%)
!Quality 54/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +14.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$83.07 $13.75 Fair Value $39.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.75 – $83.07 · fair‑value band $27.40 – $50.92 · the $69.80 price screens above the $39.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa.

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Nutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. It offers hyperconverged infrastructure software; Nutanix Cloud Platform, which is designed to enable organizations to build hybrid multicloud infrastructure; Nutanix cloud infrastructure, is a distributed HCI for enterprise IT applications, includes Nutanix AOS; Nutanix AHV; Nutanix data services for Kubernetes; flow network security; flow virtual networking provides software-defined networking with multi-tenant isolation; Nutanix Cloud Clusters; Nutanix central provides management of the Nutanix hybrid multicloud environment; and Nutanix prism, is the unified control plane and UI; Nutanix Cloud Manager, is a unified management solution; NCM Intelligent Operations; NCM Self-Service and Orchestration; NCM Cost Governance; and Nutanix Security Central unifies cloud security operations. In addition, the company offers Nutanix Kubernetes Platform, which is an enterprise-grade Kubernetes platform to accelerate app development without lock-in; Nutanix Unified Storage; Nutanix Files Storage, is a software-defined scale-out file storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage, is a scale-out S3-compatible object storage solution; Nutanix Objects Storage; Nutanix Volumes Block Storage, is a software-defined storage solution; Nutanix Data Lens, is a cloud-based cyber resilience service; Nutanix Database Service; Nutanix Enterprise AI, is a centralized inferencing control plane; and GPT-in-a-Box is a full-stack help provide consistent data services for structured and unstructured data. Further, it provides product support, and consulting and implementation services. The company serves financial services, retail, manufacturing, public sector, automotive and other transportation, consumer goods, education, energy, healthcare, media, technology, and telecommunications industries. The company has a strategic alliance with NetApp, Inc. to integrate NetApp Intelligent Data Infrastructure built on

Stock analysis

Nutanix Inc (NTNX) currently trades at $69.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.15, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $37.83 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the $69.80 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $4.01, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $27.40 (bear) to $50.92 (bull), the price of $69.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Nutanix Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was $188M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $20.5B · P/E ratio 73.5 · P/S ratio 5.45 · EPS (TTM) $0.9500 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.2% · Operating margin 10.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −44%, NTNX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.40 Fair Value $39.15 Bull $50.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9500 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $43.36 $71.37 $156.67 75
EPV $3.13 $4.01 $4.78 74
Growth DCF $40.89 $79.59 $155.97 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $43.36 $71.37 $156.67 75
Owner Earnings $8.90 $22.96 $52.47 69
5Y Revenue Exit $14.82 $22.44 $36.79 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.17 $31.64 $54.46 73
5Y P/E Exit $20.89 $40.10 $64.27 69
10Y Revenue Exit $22.76 $37.83 $48.96 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $26.10 $46.43 $81.06 66
10Y P/E Exit $27.33 $49.84 $87.06 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.74 $33.04 $46.37 63
Lynch FV $10.62 $15.17 $19.72 61
PEG = 1.0 $10.62 $15.17 $19.72 57
EPV $3.13 $4.01 $4.78 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.23 $2.56 $4.07 66
DDM Multi-Stage $1.23 $2.16 $2.69 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.63 $19.51 $24.39 63
P/S Multiple $8.88 $11.85 $14.81 58
EV/EBIT $9.36 $13.19 $17.02 65
EV/EBITDA $10.12 $14.21 $18.29 67
EV/Revenue $3.68 $6.17 $8.66 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $40.89 $79.59 $155.97 74
Rev-Margin DCF $14.82 $25.29 $40.97 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $3.13 $4.01 $4.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.12 $23.03 $29.95 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−63.4% (2020) → 6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+12.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.4%

NTNX screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.5× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 5.39× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 48.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.20× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)50 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $493.48 $542.83 +10%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $140.35 $117.84 −16%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $172.56 $42.96 −75%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $375.09 $114.50 −69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $242.49 $34.64 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $172.37 $164.92 −4%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $378.47 $177.06 −53%
Block, Inc XYZ A$109.44 A$141.48 +29%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $83.35 $71.79 −14%
Twilio Inc TWLO $238.88 $59.44 −75%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nutanix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTNX

Frequently asked questions

Is Nutanix Inc (NTNX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.15 versus a price of $69.80, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTNX?
Our model-based fair value for Nutanix Inc is $39.15 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $69.80.
What is the quality score of NTNX?
Nutanix Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $39.15 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.40, optimistic scenario $50.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nutanix Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $39.15, about −44% upside versus a price of $69.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.40, optimistic scenario $50.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Nutanix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Nutanix Inc pay a dividend?
Nutanix Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nutanix Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.2 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NTNX use?
Our models discount Nutanix Inc at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nutanix Inc that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nutanix Inc (NTNX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nutanix Inc grew +14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nutanix Inc (NTNX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nutanix Inc (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.65 %: that much free cash flow Nutanix Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nutanix Inc it is $39.15 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $69.80. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nutanix Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, NTNX trades above its calculated fair value: price $69.80, fair value $39.15, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NTNX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($69.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($39.15). For Nutanix Inc the two are $30.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nutanix Inc worth?
The market values Nutanix Inc at about $20.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $69.80; our models calculate a fair value of $39.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NTNX?
Our models span a range for Nutanix Inc: cautious scenario $27.40, base $39.15, optimistic $50.92 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $69.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NTNX?
Nutanix Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 73.5 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $39.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 48.7.
What is the PEG ratio of NTNX?
The PEG ratio of Nutanix Inc is 1.20 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How far is NTNX from its 52-week high?
Nutanix Inc trades at $69.80, about 15% below its 52-week high of $82.42 and 105% above the low of $34.01 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $39.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nutanix Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nutanix Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $69.80, calculated fair value $39.15 (−44%), Quality Score 54/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NTNX calculated?
We run Nutanix Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $39.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nutanix Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $69.80. Our model-based fair value is $39.15, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nutanix Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($50.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($27.40 to $50.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nutanix Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The market capitalisation of Nutanix Inc is $20.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nutanix Inc is 5.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Earnings per share at Nutanix Inc are $0.9500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 73.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The dividend yield of Nutanix Inc is 0.3% (payout 18.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The net margin of Nutanix Inc is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nutanix Inc is −10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
The operating margin of Nutanix Inc is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Revenue at Nutanix Inc is growing +10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nutanix Inc (NTNX)?
Earnings per share at Nutanix Inc are growing +17.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nutanix Inc (NTNX) carry?
The net debt of Nutanix Inc is $713M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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