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Data-driven stock valuation

Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nam Tai Property Inc. stock $1.53, price $4.40, upside -65.2%, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?No
  2. Quality 50+?No
  3. In an uptrend?Yes
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Real Estate US · Based in China

NT Nam Tai Property Inc. logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

Nam Tai Property Inc.

NTPIF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 65% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +64.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss over the last twelve months · -46.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.2%
Moderate debt
Fair value $1.53 · Strongly overvalued (−65.2%)
Quality 32/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/10)
Narrow moat 18/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$36.90 $0.9896 Fair Value $1.53 Nov 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9896 – $36.90 · the $4.40 price screens above the $1.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Nam Tai Property Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and operates technology and industrial parks in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on the redeveloping three parcels of land in Gushu and Guangming, Shenzhen into technology parks, as well as rents properties.

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The company was formerly known as Nam Tai Electronics, Inc. and changed its name to Nam Tai Property Inc. in April 2014. Nam Tai Property Inc. was founded in 1975 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF) currently trades at $4.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.53, 65.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.00 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the $4.40 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.53, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Nam Tai Property Inc. reported revenue of $48.0M in FY2025 versus $62.4M in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $110K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $268M Micro · P/S ratio 7.09 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2800 · Net margin −46.5% · Return on equity −9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin −52.8% · Revenue (TTM) $37.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −65%, NTPIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.53 Fair Value $1.53 Bull $1.53
Price $4.40 · Upside -65.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $1.76 $1.53 $1.39 68
P/S Multiple $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 57
P/B Multiple $4.47 $5.96 $7.44 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 57
P/B Multiple $4.47 $5.96 $7.44 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.49 $2.00 $2.98 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.76 $1.53 $1.39 68

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 47
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 83
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 36
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 39
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−67.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−67.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → −21%

NTPIF screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with CBRE Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 525 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −46.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −52.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −65.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 7.09× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 67

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.58 €36.52 +120% vs NTPIF
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $299.93 $529.78 +77% vs NTPIF
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.42 HK$55.33 +40% vs NTPIF
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.55 €23.66 −7% vs NTPIF
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$31.04 HK$27.21 −12% vs NTPIF
CBRE Group CBRE $121.65 $89.81 −26% vs NTPIF
KE Holdings BEKE $17.08 $7.31 −57% vs NTPIF
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.39 SGD 0.7800 SGD −67% vs NTPIF
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$25.14 HK$5.88 −77% vs NTPIF
CoStar Group CSGP $32.01 $6.09 −81% vs NTPIF

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nam Tai Property Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTPIF

Frequently asked questions

Is Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.53 versus a price of $4.40, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTPIF?
Our model-based fair value for Nam Tai Property Inc. is $1.53 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.40.
What is the quality score of NTPIF?
Nam Tai Property Inc. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.53 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 4 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nam Tai Property Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.53, about −65% upside versus a price of $4.40 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Nam Tai Property Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $37.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nam Tai Property Inc. it is $1.53 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of $4.40. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nam Tai Property Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, NTPIF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.40, fair value $1.53, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NTPIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.53). For Nam Tai Property Inc. the two are $2.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nam Tai Property Inc. worth?
The market values Nam Tai Property Inc. at about $268M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is $4.40; our models calculate a fair value of $1.53 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nam Tai Property Inc. (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −9.7%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NTPIF from its 52-week high?
Nam Tai Property Inc. trades at $4.40, about 25% below its 52-week high of $5.85 and 14% above the low of $3.85 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nam Tai Property Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nam Tai Property Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price $4.40, calculated fair value $1.53 (−65%), Quality Score 32/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NTPIF calculated?
We run Nam Tai Property Inc. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Nam Tai Property Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was $4.40. Our model-based fair value is $1.53, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nam Tai Property Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Nam Tai Property Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The market capitalisation of Nam Tai Property Inc. is $268M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nam Tai Property Inc. is 7.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Earnings per share at Nam Tai Property Inc. are $−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The net margin of Nam Tai Property Inc. is −46.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nam Tai Property Inc. is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nam Tai Property Inc. is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
The operating margin of Nam Tai Property Inc. is −52.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF)?
Revenue at Nam Tai Property Inc. is growing −65.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF) generate?
The free cash flow of Nam Tai Property Inc. is −$24.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nam Tai Property Inc. (NTPIF) carry?
The net debt of Nam Tai Property Inc. is $121M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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