NEXTTRIP, INC. (NTRP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $21.2M
NEXTTRIP, INC.
NTRP · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −26.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1445 to $0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.36 – $91.40 · fair‑value band $0.1445 – $0.3400 · the $1.36 price screens above the $0.2550 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
NEXTTRIP, INC. (NTRP) currently trades at $1.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2550, implying the stock looks roughly 81.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.7M. Net debt stands at $1.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1445 (bear case) to $0.3400 (bull case); at $1.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -81%, NTRP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.2500) versus Asset-Based ($0.2400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NextTrip, Inc., a technology-driven travel company, develops an integrated travel booking and media platform to connect leisure, group, and business travelers in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Travel and Media.
Full company description
NextTrip, Inc., a technology-driven travel company, develops an integrated travel booking and media platform to connect leisure, group, and business travelers in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Travel and Media. The Travel segment offers NXT2.0, a travel booking engine that supports direct-to-consumer and advisor-assisted booking across leisure, luxury, cruise, group, and business travel verticals; Five Star Alliance for luxury and cruise bookings; TA Pipeline, a group-travel agency platform that provides end-to-end solutions for conferences, conventions, destination weddings, and affinity groups; JournyGO, an agentic AI-powered consumer engagement and booking ecosystem; and Travel Magazine Pro, a digital editorial, advisor-engagement, and travel-commerce platform. Its Media segment includes JOURNY.tv, a travel media network, as well as TravelMagazine.com, an online travel publication that offers articles, guides, destination inspiration, hotel and restaurant recommendations, and general travel advice. The company was formerly known as Sigma Additive Solutions, Inc. and changed its name to NextTrip, Inc. in March 2024. NextTrip, Inc. is based in Santa Fe, New Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NEXTTRIP, INC. reported revenue of $3.7M in FY2025 versus $1.7M in FY2021, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.9M in FY2025.
NTRP screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $212.26 | $152.94 | -28% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $180.10 | $85.66 | -52% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $300.56 | $215.19 | -28% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $104.19 | $43.68 | -58% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $27.67 | $31.36 | +13% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $325.57 | $248.63 | -24% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.58 | $89.04 | +95% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $18.92 | $20.28 | +7% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.44 | $5.04 | -47% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $74.68 | $26.57 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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