CL Workshop Group (NWGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $0.1700 to $0.2000 (+17.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $0.2200 – $19.27 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2400 · the $0.3060 price screens above the $0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
CL Workshop Group (NWGL) currently trades at $0.3060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, CL Workshop Group generated revenue of $14.6M at a net margin of -40.2%. Revenue declined 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -99.7%. Net debt stands at $5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1300 (bear case) to $0.2400 (bull case); at $0.3060, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -35%, NWGL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CL Workshop Group Limited, an integrated forestry company, engages in management and harvesting, and down-stream wood-processing and distribution activities in Europe, Africa, Asia, South America, North America, and China. It operates through two segments, Direct Purchase and Original Design Manufacturer Services; and Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
CL Workshop Group Limited, an integrated forestry company, engages in management and harvesting, and down-stream wood-processing and distribution activities in Europe, Africa, Asia, South America, North America, and China. It operates through two segments, Direct Purchase and Original Design Manufacturer Services; and Manufacturing segments. The company offers logs, decking and flooring, sawn timber, recycled and synthesized charcoal, machine-made charcoal, and essential oil products. It also provides IT and business consultancy services. In addition, it engages in trading carbon credits. The company serves importers, retailers, and processors through its sales network. The company was formerly known as Nature Wood Group Limited and changed its name to CL Workshop Group Limited in December 2025. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Macau. As of October 22, 2025, CL Workshop Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of TUTU Business Services Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CL Workshop Group reported revenue of $14.6M in FY2025 versus $47.7M in FY2021, a compound −25.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.9M in FY2025.
NWGL screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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