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Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Nature Wood Group Limited $0.20, price $1.44, upside -86.1%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ADR · ISIN US63903R1068

NW Nature Wood Group Limited logo Thin data Sep 28, 2026

Nature Wood Group Limited

NWGL · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.2000 · Strongly overvalued (−86.1%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -40.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/8)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$19.27 $0.2200 Fair Value $0.2000 Sep 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $0.2200 – $19.27 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2400 · the $1.44 price screens above the $0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

CL Workshop Group Limited, an integrated forestry company, engages in management and harvesting, and down-stream wood-processing and distribution activities in Europe, Africa, Asia, South America, North America, and China. It operates through two segments, Direct Purchase and Original Design Manufacturer Services; and Manufacturing segments.

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CL Workshop Group Limited, an integrated forestry company, engages in management and harvesting, and down-stream wood-processing and distribution activities in Europe, Africa, Asia, South America, North America, and China. It operates through two segments, Direct Purchase and Original Design Manufacturer Services; and Manufacturing segments. The company offers logs, decking and flooring, sawn timber, recycled and synthesized charcoal, machine-made charcoal, and essential oil products. It also provides IT and business consultancy services. In addition, it engages in trading carbon credits. The company serves importers, retailers, and processors through its sales network. The company was formerly known as Nature Wood Group Limited and changed its name to CL Workshop Group Limited in December 2025. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Macau. As of October 22, 2025, CL Workshop Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of TUTU Business Services Limited.

Stock analysis

Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares (NWGL) currently trades at $1.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2000, 86.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2400 (bull), the price of $1.44 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares reported revenue of $14.6M in FY2025 versus $47.7M in FY2021, a compound −25.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.1M · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4000 · Net margin −40.2% · Return on equity −99.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.1% · Operating margin −57.3% · Revenue (TTM) $14.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 555% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −86%, NWGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1300 Fair Value $0.2000 Bull $0.2400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.8% (2020) → −19.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NWGL screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 71 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −8.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −40.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −57.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.27× · Highest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $176.55 $194.21 +10%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $79.49 $103.76 +31%
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$69.65 C$115.37 +66%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $74.15 $52.72 −29%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹666.45 ₹201.01 −70%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.02 ¥15.06 +25%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$15.71 C$4.54 −71%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$14.47 C$6.43 −56%
Greenlam Industries Limited GREENLAM ₹212.85 ₹48.51 −77%
Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group 601996 ¥2.88 ¥3.01 +5%

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Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares · Fair Value
$0.2000 −86%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWGL

Frequently asked questions

Is Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2000 versus a price of $1.44, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NWGL?
Our model-based fair value for Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is $0.2000 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.44.
What is the quality score of NWGL?
Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2000 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2000, about −86% upside versus a price of $1.44 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares it is $0.2000 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $1.44. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, NWGL trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.44, fair value $0.2000, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NWGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2000). For Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares the two are $1.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares worth?
The market values Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares at about $4.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $1.44; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NWGL?
Our models span a range for Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares: cautious scenario $0.1300, base $0.2000, optimistic $0.2400 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $1.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −99.7%, debt of 3.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NWGL from its 52-week high?
Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares trades at $1.44, about 18% below its 52-week high of $1.75 and 555% above the low of $0.2200 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Stella-Jones Inc, Boise Cascade Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $1.44, calculated fair value $0.2000 (−86%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NWGL calculated?
We run Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.44. Our model-based fair value is $0.2000, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The market capitalisation of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is $4.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Earnings per share at Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares are $−0.4000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The net margin of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is −40.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is −99.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is −5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
The operating margin of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is −57.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL)?
Revenue at Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is growing −11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −35.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is −$959K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nature Wood Group Limited (NWGL) carry?
The net debt of Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares is $5.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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