Northwest Natural Holding (NWN) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $2.2B
Northwest Natural Holding
NWN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($29.79 to $56.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $29.79 (bear) to $56.68 (bull), base $43.92. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 35/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $31.68 – $55.28 · fair‑value band $29.79 – $56.68 · the $50.47 price screens above the $43.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Northwest Natural Holding (NWN) currently trades at $50.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.92, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Northwest Natural Holding generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.79 (bear case) to $56.68 (bull case); at $50.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -13%, NWN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($45.78) versus Asset-Based ($23.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Northwest Natural Holding Company, through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, provides regulated natural gas distribution services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the United States. It operates through three segments: NWN Gas Utility, SiEnergy, and NWN Water.
Full company description
Northwest Natural Holding Company, through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, provides regulated natural gas distribution services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the United States. It operates through three segments: NWN Gas Utility, SiEnergy, and NWN Water. The company operates mist gas storage facility contracted to utilities, third-party marketers, and electric generators; offers natural gas asset management services; interstate storage; and operates an appliance retail center. It also engages in the gas storage, water and wastewater, non-regulated renewable natural gas, and other investment businesses. In addition, the company offers natural gas services in Oregon and southwest Washington; water and wastewater connections; and operation, maintenance, and management services to water and wastewater system owners. Northwest Natural Holding Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Northwest Natural Holding reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $860M in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was $113M in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.
NWN screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Northwest Natural Holding Co's Dividend Analysis
- Northwest Natural Holding declares $0.4925 dividend
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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