NWPX Infrastructure, Inc (NWPX) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.3B
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc
NWPX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($96.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($45.30 to $96.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.28 – $149.94 · fair‑value band $45.30 – $96.46 · the $119.72 price screens above the $69.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc (NWPX) currently trades at $119.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.15, implying the stock looks roughly 42.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NWPX Infrastructure, Inc generated revenue of $548M at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $101M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $45.30 (bear case) to $96.46 (bull case); at $119.72, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 206% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -42%, NWPX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($68.47) versus Earnings-Based ($22.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Water Transmission Systems (WTS); and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems (Precast).
Full company description
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Water Transmission Systems (WTS); and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems (Precast). The WTS segment manufactures large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems for use in water infrastructure applications, which are primarily related to drinking water systems. Its products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications. Its products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications. The Precast segment offers stormwater and wastewater technology products, precast, and reinforced concrete products, including reinforced concrete pipe, manholes, box culverts, vaults and catch basins, pump lift stations, oil water separators, biofiltration units, and other environmental and engineered solutions. It provides its products under the NWPX Geneva and NWPX Park brand names; and manufactures engineered water transmission systems and produces steel casing pipe, bar-wrapped concrete cylinder pipe, and pipeline system joints and fittings under the Northwest Pipe Company brand. In addition, the company provides solution-based products for various markets, including reinforced precast concrete products, lined precast sanitary sewer system structures, water distribution and management equipment including pump lift stations, wastewater pretreatment, and stormwater quality products. Further, it sells water infrastructure products to installation contractors. The company was formerly known as Northwest Pipe Company and changed its name to NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. in June 2025. NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc reported revenue of $526M in FY2025 versus $333M in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was $35.4M in FY2025, compounding +32.4%/yr from FY2021.
NWPX screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Strength Seen in NWPX Infrastructure (NWPX): Can Its 3.5% Jump Turn into More Strength?
- NWPX's RBJ Technology Enables First Curved Steel Microtunnel
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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