New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of New World Department Store China Ltd $2.18, price $0.76, upside +188.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch New World Department Store China Ltd ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7553 – $6.22 · fair‑value band $1.87 – $2.43 · the $0.7553 price screens below the $2.18 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow New World Department Store China Ltd ADR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
New World Department Store China Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates department stores and shopping malls in the People's Republic of China.
Show more
New World Department Store China Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates department stores and shopping malls in the People's Republic of China. The company operates its department stores, supermarkets, and shopping malls under the New World and Ba Li Chun Tian brand names, as well as concept shops under Love " Original " Life (LOL) brand names. It also offers investment activities; and provision of management and financing services. New World Department Store China Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. New World Department Store China Limited operates as a subsidiary of New World Development Company Limited.
Stock analysis
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR (NWRLY) currently trades at $0.7553, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.18, implying the stock looks roughly 65.4% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $15.02 per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.7553 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.12, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.87 (bear) to $2.43 (bull), the price of $0.7553 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$25.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $62.2M · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 189%, NWRLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.87Fair Value $2.18Bull $2.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0700 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.1% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −10%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare New World Department Store China Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+189% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New World Department Store China Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWRLY
Frequently asked questions
Is New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.18 versus a price of $0.7553, about +189% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NWRLY?
Our model-based fair value for New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is $2.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7553.
What is the quality score of NWRLY?
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.87, optimistic scenario $2.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New World Department Store China Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.18, about +189% upside versus a price of $0.7553 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.87, optimistic scenario $2.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New World Department Store China Ltd ADR it is $2.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.7553. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New World Department Store China Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NWRLY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7553, fair value $2.18, a gap of about +189% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NWRLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7553); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.18). For New World Department Store China Ltd ADR the two are $1.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New World Department Store China Ltd ADR worth?
The market values New World Department Store China Ltd ADR at about $62.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.7553; our models calculate a fair value of $2.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NWRLY?
Our models span a range for New World Department Store China Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $1.87, base $2.18, optimistic $2.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.7553). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NWRLY?
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.18 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for New World Department Store China Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NWRLY from its 52-week high?
New World Department Store China Ltd ADR trades at $0.7553, about 18% below its 52-week high of $0.9222 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New World Department Store China Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New World Department Store China Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.7553, calculated fair value $2.18 (+189%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NWRLY calculated?
We run New World Department Store China Ltd ADR through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. New World Department Store China Ltd ADR currently trades 189 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $0.7553. Our model-based fair value is $2.18, about +189% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New World Department Store China Ltd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The market capitalisation of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is $62.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is 0.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Earnings per share at New World Department Store China Ltd ADR are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The net margin of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
The operating margin of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Revenue at New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY)?
Earnings per share at New World Department Store China Ltd ADR are growing +393% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY) generate?
The free cash flow of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is $350M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does New World Department Store China Ltd (NWRLY) carry?
The net debt of New World Department Store China Ltd ADR is $3.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch New World Department Store China Ltd ADR in the live analysis
One click puts New World Department Store China Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026