EN DE

Newmark Security plc (NWT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 10.4M GBX

NS Newmark Security plc NWT · LSE
Price£1.10
Fair Value£1.40
Upside+27.3%
Quality63/100
Watch Newmark Security plc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range £1.04 – £1.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from £1.04 (bear) to £1.76 (bull), base £1.40. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.30 £0.2500 Fair Value £1.40 Jan 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.2500 – £1.30 · fair‑value band £1.04 – £1.76 · the £1.10 price screens below the £1.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Newmark Security plc (NWT) currently trades at £1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Newmark Security plc generated revenue of £24.4M at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at £3.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.04 (bear case) to £1.76 (bull case); at £1.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 27%, NWT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £1.08 £1.37 £1.70 80
Residual Income £0.6900 £0.7200 £0.7100 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.9900 £1.44 £1.93 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £1.07 £1.39 £1.78 38
Owner Earnings £1.36 £1.78 £2.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.9900 £1.42 £1.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.73 £2.74 £3.88 41
5Y P/E Exit £1.00 £1.44 £1.87 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.9900 £1.35 £1.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £1.41 £2.12 £2.99 37
10Y P/E Exit £1.02 £1.36 £1.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4800 £1.17 £1.52 54
PEG = 1.0 £0.2100 £0.3000 £0.3900 46
EPV £0.7000 £0.7900 £0.8500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.3500 £0.5400 £0.7100 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.3500 £0.4800 £0.5900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.05 £1.40 £1.76 63
P/S Multiple £0.9000 £1.19 £1.49 58
P/B Multiple £0.9000 £1.19 £1.49 55
EV/EBIT £1.45 £1.93 £2.41 53
EV/EBITDA £2.60 £3.45 £4.31 54
EV/Revenue £0.9900 £1.40 £1.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.4600 £0.6200 £0.9200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £1.08 £1.37 £1.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.9900 £1.44 £1.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.6900 £0.7200 £0.7100 76
ROIC Compounder £0.7000 £0.7900 £0.8500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.8100 £1.16 £1.51 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£1.42) versus Dividend Discount (£0.4800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when NWT reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 24.4M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.0%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow 1.2M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 1.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) +490%
Net debt 3.7M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Newmark Security plc designs, manufactures, and sells electronic and physical security systems in the United Kingdom, the United States, Belgium, Canada, the Netherlands, Mexico, the Middle East, Sweden, Switzerland, Ireland, and internationally. It operates in two segments, People and Data Management, and Physical Security Solutions.

Full company description

Newmark Security plc designs, manufactures, and sells electronic and physical security systems in the United Kingdom, the United States, Belgium, Canada, the Netherlands, Mexico, the Middle East, Sweden, Switzerland, Ireland, and internationally. It operates in two segments, People and Data Management, and Physical Security Solutions. The People and Data Management segment designs, manufactures, and distributes hardware and software access-control systems; and human capital management hardware for time-and-attendance, shop-floor data collection, and access control systems. The Physical Security Solutions segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, and maintenance of fixed and reactive security screens, reception counters, cash management systems, and associated security equipment. The company also provides manual attack and ballistic resistant cash counters, windows and moving security screens, bullet resistant doors and partitions, interlocking door airlocks, cash and speech transfer units, storage functions, security portals and revolving doors, integrated speed lanes, remote locking solutions, automatic door service and maintenance solutions, and physical security products and services, as well as customized solutions to protect staff and assets; and cash and asset storage, and protection solutions. It serves banking, retail, transport, infrastructure, healthcare, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Newmark Technology Group PLC and changed its name to Newmark Security plc in September 2002. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Newmark Security plc reported revenue of £23.0M in FY2025 versus £17.7M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was £662K in FY2025, compounding +44.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£23.0M
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 £17.7M
FY22 £19.1M
FY23 £20.3M
FY24 £22.3M
FY25 £23.0M
Net income +44.7%/yr
FY21 £151K
FY22 −£804K
FY23 £353K
FY24 £134K
FY25 £662K

Watch NWT: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Newmark Security plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWT

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.61× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 19
FUTURE 65 · sector 39
PAST 50 · sector 20
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB kr 348.40 kr 269.97 -23%
Verisure plc VSURE €10.26 €12.40 +21%
Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

Compare Newmark Security plc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Newmark Security plc (NWT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.40 versus a price of £1.10, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NWT?
Our model-based fair value for Newmark Security plc is £1.40 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.10.
What is the quality score of NWT?
Newmark Security plc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Newmark Security plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £24.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NWT?
The net profit margin of Newmark Security plc is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Newmark Security plc and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.