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Newmark Security plc (NWT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Newmark Security plc stock £1.36, price £1.01, upside +35.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials GB · ISIN GB0006596406

NS Newmark Security plc logo Some data Nov 4, 2026

Newmark Security plc

NWT · LSE
Speculative

The stock costs 26% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value £1.36 · Undervalued
Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Costs just 7.7 times its yearly profit.
Quality 44/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr in GBP)
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 42/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£1.30 £0.2500 Fair Value £1.36 Jun 2019 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.2500 – £1.30 · fair‑value band £0.9500 – £1.77 · the £1.01 price screens below the £1.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Newmark Security plc designs, manufactures, and sells electronic and physical security systems in the United Kingdom, the United States, Belgium, Canada, the Netherlands, Mexico, the Middle East, Sweden, Switzerland, Ireland, and internationally.

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It operates in two segments, People and Data Management, and Physical Security Solutions.

The People and Data Management segment designs, manufactures, and distributes hardware and software access-control systems; and human capital management hardware for time-and-attendance, shop-floor data collection, and access control systems.

The Physical Security Solutions segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, and maintenance of fixed and reactive security screens, reception counters, cash management systems, and associated security equipment.

The company also provides manual attack and ballistic resistant cash counters, windows and moving security screens, bullet resistant doors and partitions, interlocking door airlocks, cash and speech transfer units, storage functions, security portals and revolving doors, integrated speed lanes, remote locking solutions, automatic door service and maintenance solutions, and physical security products and services, as well as customized solutions to protect staff and assets; and cash and asset storage, and protection solutions.

It serves banking, retail, transport, infrastructure, healthcare, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Newmark Technology Group PLC and changed its name to Newmark Security plc in September 2002. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Newmark Security plc (NWT) currently trades at £1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.36, implying the stock looks roughly 26% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £2.57 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the £1.01 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.2500, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: £0.9500 (bear) to £1.77 (bull), the price of £1.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Newmark Security plc reported revenue of £21.9M in FY2026 versus £19.1M in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was £584K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap £10.4M Micro · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) £0.1300 · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 35%, NWT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.9500 Fair Value £1.36 Bull £1.77
Price £1.01 · Upside +35.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0687 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings £0.9300 £1.23 £1.60 78
EPV £1.39 £1.57 £1.72 74
ROIC Compounder £1.42 £1.67 £1.92 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £0.9300 £1.23 £1.60 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4200 £0.9400 £1.19 66
PEG = 1.0 £0.1500 £0.2200 £0.2800 57
EPV £1.39 £1.57 £1.72 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.30 £1.74 £2.17 63
P/S Multiple £0.7900 £1.05 £1.32 58
P/B Multiple £2.12 £2.83 £3.54 55
EV/EBIT £3.40 £4.72 £6.04 66
EV/EBITDA £4.45 £6.11 £7.78 67
EV/Revenue £1.45 £2.31 £3.16 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1700 £0.2500 £0.3100 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.7500 £0.7600 £0.8100 71
ROIC Compounder £1.42 £1.67 £1.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.9500 £1.36 £1.77 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 49
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 85
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 36
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 23
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 48
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+31.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.6% vs −10.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 10%
2026 sits 53% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +35.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 14.5% · Above median
Return on assets 2.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 2.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 7.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.48× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)80 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)65 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)58 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.54 ¥32.12 +121% vs NWT
The Brink's Company BCO $110.25 $121.16 +10% vs NWT
ADT Inc ADT $9.86 $10.67 +8% vs NWT
Brady Corporation BRC $78.72 $84.37 +7% vs NWT
S-1 Corporation 012750 98,400 KRW 99,629 KRW +1% vs NWT
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 506.00 kr 496.43 −2% vs NWT
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $170.14 $121.81 −28% vs NWT
Allegion plc ALLE $185.39 $129.15 −30% vs NWT
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $28.67 $18.76 −35% vs NWT
The GEO Group GEO $27.80 $13.08 −53% vs NWT

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Newmark Security plc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Newmark Security plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NWT

Frequently asked questions

Is Newmark Security plc (NWT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.36 versus a price of £1.01, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NWT?
Our model-based fair value for Newmark Security plc is £1.36 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.01.
What is the quality score of NWT?
Newmark Security plc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.36 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.9500, optimistic scenario £1.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Newmark Security plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.36, about +35% upside versus a price of £1.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.9500, optimistic scenario £1.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Newmark Security plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £21.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Newmark Security plc it is £1.36 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of £1.01. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Newmark Security plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, NWT trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.01, fair value £1.36, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NWT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.36). For Newmark Security plc the two are £0.3550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Newmark Security plc worth?
The market values Newmark Security plc at about £10.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is £1.01; our models calculate a fair value of £1.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NWT?
Our models span a range for Newmark Security plc: cautious scenario £0.9500, base £1.36, optimistic £1.77 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price £1.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NWT?
Newmark Security plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.36 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Newmark Security plc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 14.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NWT from its 52-week high?
Newmark Security plc trades at £1.01, about 14% below its 52-week high of £1.18 and 6% above the low of £0.9500 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Newmark Security plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Newmark Security plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price £1.01, calculated fair value £1.36 (+35%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NWT calculated?
We run Newmark Security plc through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £1.36 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Newmark Security plc currently trades 26% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £1.01. Our model-based fair value is £1.36, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Newmark Security plc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (£0.9500 to £1.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Newmark Security plc (NWT) come from?
Earnings per share at Newmark Security plc grew −13.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.4 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate −4.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Newmark Security plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The market capitalisation of Newmark Security plc is £10.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Newmark Security plc is 0.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Earnings per share at Newmark Security plc are £0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The net margin of Newmark Security plc is 2.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Newmark Security plc is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Newmark Security plc is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
The operating margin of Newmark Security plc is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Revenue at Newmark Security plc is growing +13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Newmark Security plc (NWT)?
Earnings per share at Newmark Security plc are growing +490% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Newmark Security plc (NWT) generate?
The free cash flow of Newmark Security plc is −£1.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Newmark Security plc (NWT) carry?
The net debt of Newmark Security plc is £5.2M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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