NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund $9.19, price $5.21, upside +76.4%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.40 – $11.60 · fair‑value band $5.71 – $14.63 · the $5.21 price screens below the $9.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust is an externally advised, publicly traded, diversified real estate investment trust. It focuses on the acquisition, development, and management of opportunistic and value-add investments throughout the United States across multiple sectors where NexPoint and its affiliates have operational expertise.
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NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust is an externally advised, publicly traded, diversified real estate investment trust. It focuses on the acquisition, development, and management of opportunistic and value-add investments throughout the United States across multiple sectors where NexPoint and its affiliates have operational expertise. NXDT is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors X, L.P. NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust was incorporated in June 1st, 2006, and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Stock analysis
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) currently trades at $5.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.19, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $9.33 per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the $5.21 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.27, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.71 (bear) to $14.63 (bull), the price of $5.21 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund reported revenue of $92.0M in FY2025 versus $257M in FY2021, a compound −22.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$125M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $241M · P/S ratio 2.97 · EPS (TTM) $−2.47 · Dividend yield 11.5% · Net margin −136% · Return on equity −15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 15.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 76%, NXDT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.71Fair Value $9.19Bull $14.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+143.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
’12
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’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
91.2% (2019) → −105.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.7% a year for the price.
Compare NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+78% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−144% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)11.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXDT
Frequently asked questions
Is NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.19 versus a price of $5.21, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NXDT?
Our model-based fair value for NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is $9.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.21.
What is the quality score of NXDT?
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.71, optimistic scenario $14.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.19, about +76% upside versus a price of $5.21 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.71, optimistic scenario $14.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $78.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund pay a dividend?
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund would have to grow free cash flow by +20.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXDT use?
Our models discount NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund that is +20.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +20.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (+20.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.80 %: that much free cash flow NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund it is $9.19 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.21. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NXDT trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.21, fair value $9.19, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXDT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.19). For NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund the two are $3.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund worth?
The market values NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund at about $241M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.21; our models calculate a fair value of $9.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXDT?
Our models span a range for NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund: cautious scenario $5.71, base $9.19, optimistic $14.63 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
Balance-sheet figures for NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −15.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXDT from its 52-week high?
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund trades at $5.21, about 10% below its 52-week high of $5.78 and 117% above the low of $2.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.21, calculated fair value $9.19 (+76%), Quality Score 39/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXDT calculated?
We run NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $5.21. Our model-based fair value is $9.19, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($5.71 to $14.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
How large is the market capitalisation of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The market capitalisation of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is $241M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is 2.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
Earnings per share at NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund are $−2.47. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The dividend yield of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is 11.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The net margin of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is −136% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is −15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
The operating margin of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT)?
Revenue at NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is growing −20.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NXDT) carry?
The net debt of NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund is $301M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 32.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026