NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc (NXRT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.4B
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc
NXRT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −7.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($4.38 to $42.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $22.73 – $76.53 · fair‑value band $4.38 – $42.54 · the $25.53 price screens above the $21.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc (NXRT) currently trades at $25.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.92, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc generated revenue of $252M at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.7%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.38 (bear case) to $42.54 (bull case); at $25.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -14%, NXRT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($46.01) versus Asset-Based ($7.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. With its common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange and primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the …
Full company description
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. With its common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange and primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. NXRT is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of NexPoint Advisors, L.P., an SEC-registered investment advisor, which has extensive real estate experience. NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. was established on September 19, 2014 and is based in Dallas, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc reported revenue of $251M in FY2025 versus $219M in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$32.0M in FY2025.
NXRT screens 14% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) Loses 15.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
- NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- NexPoint Residential Trust Inc (NXRT) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Core FFO Beats, ...
- NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) Q2 FFO and Revenues Beat Estimates
Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $190.80 | $126.12 | -34% |
| EQR EQR | $67.86 | $38.10 | -44% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $293.46 | $177.90 | -39% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $16.82 | -44% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $133.88 | $65.28 | -51% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $121.83 | $114.79 | -6% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $39.59 | $19.76 | -50% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $33.11 | $21.44 | -35% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $66.05 | $21.27 | -68% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $113.73 | $41.87 | -63% |
Compare NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc (NXRT) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NXRT?
What is the quality score of NXRT?
What is the revenue of NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc (NXRT)?
What is the net profit margin of NXRT?
Does NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.