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Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 21.4B ILA

NV Next Vision Stabilized Systems NXSN · TA
Price222.00 ILA
Fair Value56.58 ILA
Upside-74.5%
Quality54/100
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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth
✓Highly profitable · 60.8% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 92/100

Risks

!Trades 75% ABOVE our fair value of 56.58 ILA
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 60.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range 36.62 ILA – 71.11 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

Fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, review alerts and the diversification check: 14 days of Pro free, no card.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (71.11 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (36.62 ILA to 71.11 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

392.20 ILA 4.22 ILA Fair Value 56.58 ILA Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.22 ILA – 392.20 ILA · fair‑value band 36.62 ILA – 71.11 ILA · the 222.00 ILA price screens above the 56.58 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) currently trades at 222.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.58 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Next Vision Stabilized Systems generated revenue of 200M ILA at a net margin of 60.8%. Revenue grew 86.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 81.5M ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 36.62 ILA (bear case) to 71.11 ILA (bull case); at 222.00 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -75%, NXSN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (4.47 ILA to 61.45 ILA). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 8.07 ILA 10.69 ILA 40.31 ILA 76
Growth DCF 12.68 ILA 24.25 ILA 43.22 ILA 72
Gordon GGM 3.58 ILA 7.43 ILA 11.79 ILA 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 13.42 ILA 20.59 ILA 43.41 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 20.41 ILA 45.26 ILA 97.42 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 9.94 ILA 16.26 ILA 29.48 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 16.78 ILA 30.11 ILA 56.27 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.63 ILA 55.16 ILA 98.73 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 10.80 ILA 22.00 ILA 28.92 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 16.11 ILA 36.74 ILA 73.34 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 21.11 ILA 51.48 ILA 102.80 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.27 ILA 57.66 ILA 80.92 ILA 54
Lynch FV 29.79 ILA 42.56 ILA 55.32 ILA 50
PEG = 1.0 29.79 ILA 42.56 ILA 55.32 ILA 46
EPV 11.04 ILA 12.72 ILA 14.20 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.58 ILA 7.43 ILA 11.79 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.58 ILA 6.27 ILA 7.80 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.53 ILA 34.04 ILA 42.56 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 8.15 ILA 10.86 ILA 13.58 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 15.50 ILA 20.67 ILA 25.84 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 22.36 ILA 29.50 ILA 36.65 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 17.39 ILA 22.88 ILA 28.37 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 7.84 ILA 10.80 ILA 13.76 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.34 ILA 4.47 ILA 6.67 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 12.68 ILA 24.25 ILA 43.22 ILA 72
Rev-Margin DCF 10.86 ILA 18.48 ILA 34.43 ILA 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8.07 ILA 10.69 ILA 40.31 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 14.85 ILA 22.53 ILA 27.74 ILA 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 43.02 ILA 61.45 ILA 79.89 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (61.45 ILA) versus Asset-Based (4.47 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 200M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +86.3%
Net margin 60.8%
Return on equity 32.8%
Free cash flow 68.5M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 58.9
More key figures
Operating margin 56.9%
EPS (TTM) 3.77 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) +63.6%
Net cash 81.5M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 11
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones.

Full company description

NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones. It also provides accessories, such as camera mounting fixture, damping fixture, third axis, and interface cables, as well as the TRIP, which allows communication between the camera and the platform's autopilot. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Next Vision Stabilized Systems reported revenue of 182M ILA in FY2025 versus 15.0M ILA in FY2021, a compound +86.6%/yr. Reported net income was 112M ILA in FY2025, compounding +110.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
182M ILS
Latest YoY
+58.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+91.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+87.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+82.4%
Revenue +86.6%/yr
FY21 15.0M ILA
FY22 26.0M ILA
FY23 51.9M ILA
FY24 115M ILA
FY25 182M ILA
Net income +110.3%/yr
FY21 5.7M ILA
FY22 11.1M ILA
FY23 27.6M ILA
FY24 66.4M ILA
FY25 112M ILA

NXSN screens 75% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →

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Next Vision Stabilized Systems · Fair Value
56.58 ILA −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Next Vision Stabilized Systems Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXSN

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 86% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 58.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 11.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 35.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 104.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 59.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 31
FUTURE100 · sector 38
PAST100 · sector 19
HEALTH0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND5 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56.58 ILA versus a price of 222.00 ILA, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXSN?
Our model-based fair value for Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 56.58 ILA (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 222.00 ILA.
What is the quality score of NXSN?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 200M ILS (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NXSN?
The net profit margin of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is about 60.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 60.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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