Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Next Vision Stabilized Systems ILS 118, price ILS 242, upside -51.1%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.22 ILA – 392.20 ILA · fair‑value band 53.40 ILA – 146.88 ILA · the 242.00 ILA price screens above the 118.42 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones.
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NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones. It also provides accessories, such as camera mounting fixture, damping fixture, third axis, and interface cables, as well as the TRIP, which allows communication between the camera and the platform's autopilot. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
Stock analysis
Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) currently trades at 242.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 118.42 ILA, 51.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 187.29 ILA per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 242.00 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 13.63 ILA, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 53.40 ILA (bear) to 146.88 ILA (bull), the price of 242.00 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Next Vision Stabilized Systems reported revenue of $182M in FY2025 versus $15.0M in FY2021, a compound +86.6%/yr. Reported net income was $112M in FY2025, compounding +110.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 22.7B ILA · P/E ratio 64.2 · P/S ratio 39.5 · EPS (TTM) 3.77 ILA · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 61.6% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −51%, NXSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 53.40 ILAFair Value 118.42 ILABull 146.88 ILA
Price 242.00 ILA · Upside -51.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.44 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+91.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+87.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.4%
’19
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.4% (2020) → 60.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+52.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.4% a year for the price and +49.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (32 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 107 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Next Vision Stabilized Systems Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXSN
Frequently asked questions
Is Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 118.42 ILA versus a price of 242.00 ILA, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXSN?
Our model-based fair value for Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 118.42 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 242.00 ILA.
What is the quality score of NXSN?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 118.42 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 53.40 ILA, optimistic scenario 146.88 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Next Vision Stabilized Systems stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 118.42 ILA, about −51% upside versus a price of 242.00 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 53.40 ILA, optimistic scenario 146.88 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $200M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Next Vision Stabilized Systems pay a dividend?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Next Vision Stabilized Systems would have to grow free cash flow by +45.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +87.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXSN use?
Our models discount Next Vision Stabilized Systems at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Next Vision Stabilized Systems that is +45.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Next Vision Stabilized Systems grew +87.5 % a year. The price currently implies +45.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Next Vision Stabilized Systems (+45.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.92 %: that much free cash flow Next Vision Stabilized Systems produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Next Vision Stabilized Systems it is 118.42 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 242.00 ILA. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Next Vision Stabilized Systems stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NXSN trades above its calculated fair value: price 242.00 ILA, fair value 118.42 ILA, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (242.00 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (118.42 ILA). For Next Vision Stabilized Systems the two are 123.58 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Next Vision Stabilized Systems worth?
The market values Next Vision Stabilized Systems at about 22.7B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 242.00 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 118.42 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXSN?
Our models span a range for Next Vision Stabilized Systems: cautious scenario 53.40 ILA, base 118.42 ILA, optimistic 146.88 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 242.00 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NXSN?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 64.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 118.42 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.1, P/S 37.2, EV/EBITDA 62.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Next Vision Stabilized Systems (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 32.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXSN from its 52-week high?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems trades at 242.00 ILA, about 38% below its 52-week high of 392.20 ILA and 77% above the low of 136.44 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 118.42 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Next Vision Stabilized Systems?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Next Vision Stabilized Systems stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 242.00 ILA, calculated fair value 118.42 ILA (−51%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXSN calculated?
We run Next Vision Stabilized Systems through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 118.42 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Next Vision Stabilized Systems itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 242.00 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 118.42 ILA, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Next Vision Stabilized Systems right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (146.88 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (53.40 ILA to 146.88 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Next Vision Stabilized Systems
How large is the market capitalisation of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The market capitalisation of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 22.7B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 39.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Earnings per share at Next Vision Stabilized Systems are 3.77 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 64.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The dividend yield of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 0.2% (payout 14.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The net margin of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 61.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 25.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
The operating margin of Next Vision Stabilized Systems is 56.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Revenue at Next Vision Stabilized Systems is growing +86.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +91.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN)?
Earnings per share at Next Vision Stabilized Systems are growing +63.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) hold?
Next Vision Stabilized Systems holds more cash than debt, $81.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 27, 2026