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Cpi Property Group SA (O5G) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cpi Property Group SA €0.37, price €0.73, upside -49.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · DE · ISIN LU0251710041

CP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Cpi Property Group SA

O5G · XETRA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €0.3700 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.3 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 16.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€0.9600 €0.6750 Fair Value €0.3700 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.6750 – €0.9600 · fair‑value band €0.2800 – €0.3800 · the €0.7300 price screens above the €0.3700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CPI Property Group operates as a property investor and developer in Central Europe. Its portfolio comprises real estate assets in the Czech and Slovak Republics, including residential, retail, hospitality, and industrial projects. CPI Property Group is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Stock analysis

Cpi Property Group SA (O5G) currently trades at €0.7300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 97.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €0.3900 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the €0.7300 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.3500, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.2800 (bear) to €0.3800 (bull), the price of €0.7300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Cpi Property Group SA reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €664M in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was €186M in FY2025, compounding −38.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €6.6B · P/E ratio 36.5 · P/S ratio 4.65 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −49%, O5G screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2800 Fair Value €0.3700 Bull €0.3800
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0146 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €0.4100 €0.3900 €0.3400 74
Gordon GGM €0.0100 €0.0300 €0.0400 64
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0100 €0.0300 €0.0400 64
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0100 €0.0200 €0.0300 63
Multiples
P/S Multiple €0.2600 €0.3500 €0.4400 58
P/B Multiple €0.2600 €0.3500 €0.4400 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.2800 €0.3800 €0.5600 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.4100 €0.3900 €0.3400 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Revenue growth 19 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−22.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−22% vs −8%, slowing
Profit margin 2017 to 2024 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.209% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

O5G screens 97% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (31 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.81× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 5.42× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 26.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)10 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 236,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $141.05 $89.43 −37%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.37 €36.67 +111%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.33 €23.78 −6%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.78 HK$17.18 −60%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $335.36 $530.17 +58%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$13.50 −45%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.77 $6.17 −79%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.44 HK$56.43 +51%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.62 SGD 0.5000 SGD −81%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cpi Property Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/O5G

Frequently asked questions

Is Cpi Property Group SA (O5G) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.3700 versus a price of €0.7300, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of O5G?
Our model-based fair value for Cpi Property Group SA is €0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.7300.
What is the quality score of O5G?
Cpi Property Group SA has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2800, optimistic scenario €0.3800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cpi Property Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.3700, about −49% upside versus a price of €0.7300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2800, optimistic scenario €0.3800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Cpi Property Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cpi Property Group SA pay a dividend?
Cpi Property Group SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cpi Property Group SA it is €0.3700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €0.7300. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cpi Property Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, O5G trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.7300, fair value €0.3700, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of O5G?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.7300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.3700). For Cpi Property Group SA the two are €0.3600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cpi Property Group SA worth?
The market values Cpi Property Group SA at about €6.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €0.7300; our models calculate a fair value of €0.3700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about O5G?
Our models span a range for Cpi Property Group SA: cautious scenario €0.2800, base €0.3700, optimistic €0.3800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €0.7300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of O5G?
Cpi Property Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.3700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 26.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cpi Property Group SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 1.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is O5G from its 52-week high?
Cpi Property Group SA trades at €0.7300, about 11% below its 52-week high of €0.8200 and 8% above the low of €0.6750 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.3700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cpi Property Group SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cpi Property Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €0.7300, calculated fair value €0.3700 (−49%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of O5G calculated?
We run Cpi Property Group SA through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.3700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cpi Property Group SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €0.7300. Our model-based fair value is €0.3700, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cpi Property Group SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Cpi Property Group SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The market capitalisation of Cpi Property Group SA is €6.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cpi Property Group SA is 4.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Earnings per share at Cpi Property Group SA are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The dividend yield of Cpi Property Group SA is 0.2% (payout 7.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The net margin of Cpi Property Group SA is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cpi Property Group SA is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cpi Property Group SA is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
The operating margin of Cpi Property Group SA is 44.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Revenue at Cpi Property Group SA is growing −9.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cpi Property Group SA (O5G)?
Earnings per share at Cpi Property Group SA are growing +173% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cpi Property Group SA (O5G) generate?
The free cash flow of Cpi Property Group SA is −€249M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cpi Property Group SA (O5G) carry?
The net debt of Cpi Property Group SA is €10.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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