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Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Optical Cable Corporation $1.62, price $14.16, upside -88.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US6838272085

OC Optical Cable Corporation logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Optical Cable Corporation

OCC · US

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $1.62 · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$26.92 $2.03 Fair Value $1.62 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.03 – $26.92 · fair‑value band $1.12 – $2.20 · the $14.16 price screens above the $1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Optical Cable Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fiber optic and copper data communications cabling and connectivity solutions primarily for the enterprise market in the United States and internationally.

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Optical Cable Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fiber optic and copper data communications cabling and connectivity solutions primarily for the enterprise market in the United States and internationally. The company offers fiber optic and hybrid cables for high bandwidth transmission of data, video, and audio communications; and copper datacom cables, including unshielded and shielded twisted pair constructions. Its fiber optic connectivity products include fiber optic wall mounts, cabinet mount and rack mount enclosures, NEMA enclosures, pre-terminated fiber optic enclosures, fiber optic connectors, splice trays, fiber optic jumpers, plug and play cassette modules, pre-terminated fiber optic cable assemblies, adapters, and accessories; and copper connectivity products comprising category compliant patch panels, jacks, plugs, patch cords, faceplates, surface mounted boxes, distribution and multi-media boxes, copper rack mount and wall mount enclosures, cable assemblies, cable organizers, and other wiring products for equipment rooms, telecommunications closets, data centers, and workstation applications. In addition, the company provides network, data storage, and telecommunications management systems, such as data cabinets, wall mount enclosures, horizontal and vertical cable management systems, and open frame relay racks; and datacom wiring products, including various enclosures, and modules and modular outlets for single dwelling and multiple dwelling residential uses. Further, the company provides specialty fiber optic connectors and connectivity components, copper datacom connectors, and related systems and solutions for military, other harsh environment, and special applications, as well as cylindrical connector products. It sells its products to distributors, original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, and end-users. Optical Cable Corporation was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Roanoke, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) currently trades at $14.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 774.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.64 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $14.16 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.5100, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.12 (bear) to $2.20 (bull), the price of $14.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Optical Cable Corporation reported revenue of $73.0M in FY2025 versus $59.1M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $198M · P/E ratio 118.0 · P/S ratio 2.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.1200 · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin 5.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 240% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −89%, OCC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.12 Fair Value $1.62 Bull $2.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1082 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.40 $1.83 $2.36 82
Growth DCF $1.42 $1.82 $2.29 80
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7700 $1.02 $1.30 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.40 $1.83 $2.36 82
5Y Revenue Exit $1.08 $1.56 $2.15 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7700 $1.02 $1.30 76
10Y Revenue Exit $1.19 $1.59 $2.06 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.05 $1.29 $1.55 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.3200 $0.5100 $0.7100 66
EV/Revenue $0.8900 $1.38 $1.88 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.22 $1.64 $2.44 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.42 $1.82 $2.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.08 $1.59 $2.16 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.0% (2020) → −0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+49.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.8% a year for the price.

OCC screens 774% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 118.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.17× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 176.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 74.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.97 $117.67 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥927.72 ¥349.40 −62%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥62.98 ¥14.18 −77%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.63 $3.71 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $460.44 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$190.50 HK$32.70 −83%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optical Cable Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCC

Frequently asked questions

Is Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.62 versus a price of $14.16, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OCC?
Our model-based fair value for Optical Cable Corporation is $1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.16.
What is the quality score of OCC?
Optical Cable Corporation has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.12, optimistic scenario $2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Optical Cable Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.62, about −89% upside versus a price of $14.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.12, optimistic scenario $2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Optical Cable Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $78.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Optical Cable Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +49.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OCC use?
Our models discount Optical Cable Corporation at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Optical Cable Corporation that is +49.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Optical Cable Corporation grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies +49.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Optical Cable Corporation (+49.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.98 %: that much free cash flow Optical Cable Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Optical Cable Corporation it is $1.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $14.16. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Optical Cable Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OCC trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.16, fair value $1.62, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.62). For Optical Cable Corporation the two are $12.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Optical Cable Corporation worth?
The market values Optical Cable Corporation at about $198M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $14.16; our models calculate a fair value of $1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCC?
Our models span a range for Optical Cable Corporation: cautious scenario $1.12, base $1.62, optimistic $2.20 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $14.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OCC?
Optical Cable Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 118.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.2, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 74.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Optical Cable Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCC from its 52-week high?
Optical Cable Corporation trades at $14.16, about 47% below its 52-week high of $26.92 and 240% above the low of $4.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Optical Cable Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Optical Cable Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $14.16, calculated fair value $1.62 (−89%), Quality Score 61/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OCC calculated?
We run Optical Cable Corporation through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Optical Cable Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $14.16. Our model-based fair value is $1.62, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Optical Cable Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.12 to $2.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Optical Cable Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The market capitalisation of Optical Cable Corporation is $198M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Optical Cable Corporation is 2.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Earnings per share at Optical Cable Corporation are $0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 118.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The net margin of Optical Cable Corporation is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Optical Cable Corporation is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Optical Cable Corporation is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
The operating margin of Optical Cable Corporation is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Optical Cable Corporation (OCC)?
Revenue at Optical Cable Corporation is growing +26.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Optical Cable Corporation (OCC) carry?
The net debt of Optical Cable Corporation is $11.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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