Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Origin Enterprises Plc €6.51, price €4.06, upside +60.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.59 – €4.86 · fair‑value band €4.56 – €8.46 · the €4.06 price screens below the €6.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Origin Enterprises plc provides agronomy services company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Poland, Romania, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Agriculture and Living Landscapes.
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Origin Enterprises plc provides agronomy services company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Poland, Romania, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Agriculture and Living Landscapes. The company provides integrated agronomy and on-farm services comprising agronomy advice, services, and inputs to arable, livestock, and fruit and vegetable growers; and seed, nutrition, biologicals, crop protection products; and digital tools and lab testing. It blends and distributes various fertilizers and nutrition products; and animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company offers a range of consultancy services; inputs and technical solutions in sports turf management, landscaping, and environmental conservation; advice, seeds, irrigation systems, nutrition, protection for sports professionals to protect their turf; line marking paint and equipment, and support for parking and recreation spaces for sports; and ecological and environmental services, such as planning consultancy, habitat management, and ecological assessments to organizations. Further, it engages in supply of professional-grade landscaping materials, including ground materials, reinforcement systems, drainage solutions, plants, trees, shrubs, and wholesale and B2C garden supplies to developers, construction contractors, architects, and landowners. Additionally, the company is involved in provender milling; manufacture and distribution of landscaping, forestry, and maintenance equipment; grain handling; ecology solutions; digital agricultural services group; property trading; IT implementation, maintaining, and licensing of software; grain and feed trading; and silo operation; as well as provides sports and amenities, turf management services, agricultural and construction inputs, and finance facilities and funding. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Stock analysis
Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) currently trades at €4.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.51, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.82 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the €4.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.52, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €4.56 (bear) to €8.46 (bull), the price of €4.06 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Origin Enterprises Plc reported revenue of €2.0B in FY2024 versus €1.6B in FY2020, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was €40.4M in FY2024, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €478M · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) €0.3700 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 60%, OIZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €4.56Fair Value €6.51Bull €8.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.8% vs −3.2%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 181 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+60.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.3% · Above median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.51 versus a price of €4.06, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OIZ?
Our model-based fair value for Origin Enterprises Plc is €6.51 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.06.
What is the quality score of OIZ?
Origin Enterprises Plc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.51 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.56, optimistic scenario €8.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Origin Enterprises Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.51, about +60% upside versus a price of €4.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.56, optimistic scenario €8.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Origin Enterprises Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Origin Enterprises Plc pay a dividend?
Origin Enterprises Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Origin Enterprises Plc it is €6.51 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €4.06. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Origin Enterprises Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OIZ trades below its calculated fair value: price €4.06, fair value €6.51, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OIZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.51). For Origin Enterprises Plc the two are €2.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Origin Enterprises Plc worth?
The market values Origin Enterprises Plc at about €478M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €4.06; our models calculate a fair value of €6.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OIZ?
Our models span a range for Origin Enterprises Plc: cautious scenario €4.56, base €6.51, optimistic €8.46 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €4.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OIZ?
Origin Enterprises Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Origin Enterprises Plc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OIZ from its 52-week high?
Origin Enterprises Plc trades at €4.06, about 16% below its 52-week high of €4.86 and 12% above the low of €3.63 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Origin Enterprises Plc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Origin Enterprises Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €4.06, calculated fair value €6.51 (+60%), Quality Score 54/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OIZ calculated?
We run Origin Enterprises Plc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Origin Enterprises Plc currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €4.06. Our model-based fair value is €6.51, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Origin Enterprises Plc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€4.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€4.56 to €8.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) come from?
Earnings per share at Origin Enterprises Plc grew +0.9 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.7 %, EBIT margin −3.0 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Origin Enterprises Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The market capitalisation of Origin Enterprises Plc is €478M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Origin Enterprises Plc is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Earnings per share at Origin Enterprises Plc are €0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The dividend yield of Origin Enterprises Plc is 4.3% (payout 46.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The net margin of Origin Enterprises Plc is 2.0% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Origin Enterprises Plc is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Origin Enterprises Plc is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
The operating margin of Origin Enterprises Plc is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Revenue at Origin Enterprises Plc is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ)?
Earnings per share at Origin Enterprises Plc are growing −1.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) generate?
The free cash flow of Origin Enterprises Plc is −€42.8M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Origin Enterprises Plc (OIZ) carry?
The net debt of Origin Enterprises Plc is €71.7M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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