Origin Enterprises plc (OIZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IE · Market cap €478M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €6.51 to €6.95 (+6.8%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€4.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€4.87 to €9.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.59 – €4.86 · fair‑value band €4.87 – €9.03 · the €4.35 price screens below the €6.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Origin Enterprises plc (OIZ) currently trades at €4.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.95, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Origin Enterprises plc generated revenue of €2.1B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at €71.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €4.87 (bear case) to €9.03 (bull case); at €4.35, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at 60%, OIZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€7.82) versus Asset-Based (€2.52). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Origin Enterprises plc provides agronomy services company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Poland, Romania, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Agriculture and Living Landscapes.
Full company description
Origin Enterprises plc provides agronomy services company in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Poland, Romania, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Agriculture and Living Landscapes. The company provides integrated agronomy and on-farm services comprising agronomy advice, services, and inputs to arable, livestock, and fruit and vegetable growers; and seed, nutrition, biologicals, crop protection products; and digital tools and lab testing. It blends and distributes various fertilizers and nutrition products; and animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company offers a range of consultancy services; inputs and technical solutions in sports turf management, landscaping, and environmental conservation; advice, seeds, irrigation systems, nutrition, protection for sports professionals to protect their turf; line marking paint and equipment, and support for parking and recreation spaces for sports; and ecological and environmental services, such as planning consultancy, habitat management, and ecological assessments to organizations. Further, it engages in supply of professional-grade landscaping materials, including ground materials, reinforcement systems, drainage solutions, plants, trees, shrubs, and wholesale and B2C garden supplies to developers, construction contractors, architects, and landowners. Additionally, the company is involved in provender milling; manufacture and distribution of landscaping, forestry, and maintenance equipment; grain handling; ecology solutions; digital agricultural services group; property trading; IT implementation, maintaining, and licensing of software; grain and feed trading; and silo operation; as well as provides sports and amenities, turf management services, agricultural and construction inputs, and finance facilities and funding. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Origin Enterprises plc reported revenue of €2.0B in FY2024 versus €1.6B in FY2020, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was €40.4M in FY2024, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2020.
of which total revenue +5.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $76.22 | $27.81 | -64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$93.60 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | -23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $120.01 | $161.00 | +34% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 418.10 | kr 67.25 | -84% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.12 | +41% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | -17% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,089 | ₹1,129 | -46% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹570.50 | ₹387.06 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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