Offerpad Solutions Inc (OPAD) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $24.0M
Offerpad Solutions Inc
OPAD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.95 to $5.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5760 – $299.55 · fair‑value band $2.95 – $5.80 · the $4.79 price screens above the $4.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Offerpad Solutions Inc (OPAD) currently trades at $4.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.37, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Offerpad Solutions Inc generated revenue of $487M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue declined 50.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $67.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.95 (bear case) to $5.80 (bull case); at $4.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -9%, OPAD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($186.20) versus Asset-Based ($5.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Offerpad Solutions Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a technology-enabled real estate solutions platform in the United States. It operates through Cash Offer, Renovate, and Other segments.
Full company description
Offerpad Solutions Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a technology-enabled real estate solutions platform in the United States. It operates through Cash Offer, Renovate, and Other segments. The company offers Cash Offer, which allows customers to access the company's website or mobile application to receive a cash offer range for their home; and renovation services to other businesses. It also provides a Cash Offer Marketplace, including Direct+ partners, which provide buyers with an opportunity to purchase homes from homeowners; and brokerage services, which allow sellers to select from different agent-led pathways to sell their home. In addition, the company offers HomePro, which pairs local agents with its platform, data, and customer flow to deliver guided and in-person services; and the Agent Partnership Program, which allows third-party agents to present a cash offer to customers. Further, it provides ancillary products and services comprising energy efficiency solutions, smart home technology, insurance, and home warranty services, as well as mortgage, title insurance, and escrow services. Offerpad Solutions Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Offerpad Solutions Inc reported revenue of $568M in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$46.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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