OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what OPAL Fuels Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Utilities · US · Market cap $325M · ISIN US68347P1030
At a glance
OFOPAL Fuels IncOPAL · US
Price$1.92
Fair Value$1.81
Upside−5.7%
Quality21/100
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $1.81.
As of Aug 14, 2026, the fair value of OPAL Fuels Inc is $1.81 per share against a price of $1.92, so the fair value sits 6% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +24.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange $1.35 to $2.13
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $2.04 to $1.81 (−11.3%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −17.6% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.30 – $11.50 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $2.13 · the $1.92 price screens above the $1.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL) currently trades at $1.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 6.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $2.13 per share, and 2 of the 8 models we run sit above the $1.92 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.7900, and 6 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, OPAL Fuels Inc generated revenue of $337M at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at $341M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Scenario range: $1.35 (bear) to $2.13 (bull), the price of $1.92 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −6%, OPAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0483 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM$0.4800$0.8700$1.1968
DDM Multi-Stage$0.4800$0.7900$0.920067
Growth-Adj P/E$1.49$2.13$2.7867
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.5900$3.91$5.4863
Lynch FV$1.14$1.63$2.1261
PEG = 1.0$1.14$1.63$2.1257
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$0.4800$0.8700$1.1968
DDM Multi-Stage$0.4800$0.7900$0.920067
Multiples
P/E Multiple$1.18$1.57$1.9663
P/S Multiple$1.11$1.48$1.8558
EV/EBITDAn/an/a$0.170062
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$1.49$2.13$2.7867
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.13) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio26.6as of Jun 22, 2026
P/S ratio1.12P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$0.0700price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.6
Dividend yield3.2%payout 88.3%
Net margin4.2%FY2025
Return on equity6.1%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)1.6%avg 5y
Operating margin−4.2%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$337MTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−14.1%3y avg +14.0%
EPS growth (YoY)−41.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$34.2MFY2025
Net debt$341MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality21/100
Of which business quality 24
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Profitability22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment15
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance33
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
OPAL Fuels Inc. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of renewable natural gas (RNG) for use as a vehicle fuel for heavy and medium-duty trucking fleets throughout the United States. It operates through three segments, RNG Fuel, Fuel Station Services and Renewable Power.
Full company description
OPAL Fuels Inc. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of renewable natural gas (RNG) for use as a vehicle fuel for heavy and medium-duty trucking fleets throughout the United States. It operates through three segments, RNG Fuel, Fuel Station Services and Renewable Power. The company also designs, develops, constructs, operates, and services fueling stations for trucking fleets that use natural gas to displace diesel as transportation fuel. In addition, it is involved in the design, development, and construction of hydrogen fueling stations. Further, the company engages in the generation and sale of renewable power to utilities; and environmental attributes associated with RNG and renewable power, as well as sale of RNG as pipeline quality natural gas. OPAL Fuels Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in White Plains, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OPAL Fuels Inc reported revenue of $349M in FY2025 versus $166M in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was $14.8M in FY2025, compounding +189.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$349M
Latest YoY
+16.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+42.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+39.0%
Dividend yield3.2%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15.2% (2020) → 1.4% (2025) · rising
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Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE20· sector 26
FUTURE0· sector 0
PAST24· sector 35
HEALTH100· sector 85
DIVIDEND64· sector 70
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.81 versus a price of $1.92, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OPAL?
Our model-based fair value for OPAL Fuels Inc is $1.81 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.92.
What is the quality score of OPAL?
OPAL Fuels Inc has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.81 (as of Aug 14, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.35, optimistic scenario $2.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OPAL Fuels Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.81, about −6% upside versus a price of $1.92 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.35, optimistic scenario $2.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL)?
OPAL Fuels Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $337M (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPAL?
The net profit margin of OPAL Fuels Inc is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does OPAL Fuels Inc pay a dividend?
OPAL Fuels Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OPAL Fuels Inc it is $1.81 per share (as of Aug 14, 2026), against a price of $1.92. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OPAL Fuels Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 14, 2026, OPAL trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.92, fair value $1.81, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.81). For OPAL Fuels Inc the two are $0.1100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OPAL Fuels Inc worth?
The market values OPAL Fuels Inc at about $325M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 14, 2026). Per share that is $1.92; our models calculate a fair value of $1.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPAL?
Our models span a range for OPAL Fuels Inc: cautious scenario $1.35, base $1.81, optimistic $2.13 per share (as of Aug 14, 2026, price $1.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OPAL?
OPAL Fuels Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.6 (as of Aug 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.81 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 30.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for OPAL Fuels Inc (as of Aug 14, 2026): return on equity 6.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPAL from its 52-week high?
OPAL Fuels Inc trades at $1.92, about 33% below its 52-week high of $2.87 and 16% above the low of $1.65 (as of Aug 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OPAL Fuels Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OPAL Fuels Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 14, 2026: price $1.92, calculated fair value $1.81 (−6%), Quality Score 21/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPAL calculated?
We run OPAL Fuels Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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OPAL Fuels Inc
OPAL · US