Orange Polska S.A (OPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · PL · Market cap 19.1B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +10.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (8.41 PLN to 15.21 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.97 PLN – 16.38 PLN · fair‑value band 8.41 PLN – 15.21 PLN · the 15.38 PLN price screens above the 10.41 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Orange Polska S.A (OPL) currently trades at 15.38 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.41 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Orange Polska S.A generated revenue of 13.2B PLN at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at 3.7B PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.41 PLN (bear case) to 15.21 PLN (bull case); at 15.38 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -32%, OPL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (12.77 PLN) versus Earnings-Based (4.83 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Orange Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services for individuals, small and large businesses, and corporations in Poland.
Full company description
Orange Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services for individuals, small and large businesses, and corporations in Poland. The company offers mobile and fixed telecommunications services, including calls, messaging, content, and access to the Internet and TV; and information technology and integration services, leased lines, and other value-added telecommunication services. It also engages in the sale of telecommunications equipment; provision of data transmission services; and construction of telecommunications infrastructure. In addition, the company is involved in the local operation of fibre infrastructure; provision of training, insurance agency, and charity foundation services; management of employee pension funds; and point of sale rental business. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Warsaw, Poland. Orange Polska S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Orange S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orange Polska S.A reported revenue of 13.1B PLN in FY2025 versus 11.9B PLN in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 762M PLN in FY2025, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2021.
OPL screens 32% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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