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Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ocean Power Technologies Inc $0.91, price $2.20, upside -58.7%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US6748705067

OP Ocean Power Technologies Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Ocean Power Technologies Inc

OPTT · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.9095 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 33/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.4 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$88.80 $1.82 Fair Value $0.9095 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.82 – $88.80 · fair‑value band $0.5950 – $1.13 · the $2.20 price screens above the $0.9095 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Ocean Power Technologies, Inc., a maritime domain awareness company, provides maritime solutions in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, and Asia. Its maritime solutions include Data as a Service (DaaS), Robotics as a Service (RaaS), and Power as a Service (PaaS).

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Ocean Power Technologies, Inc., a maritime domain awareness company, provides maritime solutions in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, and Asia. Its maritime solutions include Data as a Service (DaaS), Robotics as a Service (RaaS), and Power as a Service (PaaS). The company also designs, manufactures, deploys, and operates PowerBuoy, a sensor and power solution; wave adaptive modular vessel (WAM-V), an autonomous unmanned surface vehicle; and Merrows, a user interface and command and control (C2) system for defense, security, subsea infrastructure, offshore oil and gas, offshore energy, marine research, and communication markets. It serves defense agencies, offshore energy operators, and other commercial interests through a combination of direct sales and leases, strategic partnerships, and long-term service agreements. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Monroe Township, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT) currently trades at $2.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9095, implying the stock looks roughly 141.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.5950 (bear) to $1.13 (bull), the price of $2.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ocean Power Technologies Inc reported revenue of $5.9M in FY2025 versus $1.2M in FY2021, a compound +48.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $74.6M · P/S ratio 21.7 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2000 · Return on equity −147% · Return on assets (EBIT) −54.5% · Operating margin −1,777% · Revenue (TTM) $3.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) −37.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 89% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −59%, OPTT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.5950 Fair Value $0.9095 Bull $1.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.1000 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.1000 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−675.7% (2020) → −370.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OPTT screens 142% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (86 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −56% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −38% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.80× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 21.73× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €274.80 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $971.21 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $524.65 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $273.42 $151.39 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.59 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $432.89 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ocean Power Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPTT

Frequently asked questions

Is Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9095 versus a price of $2.20, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPTT?
Our model-based fair value for Ocean Power Technologies Inc is $0.9095 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.20.
What is the quality score of OPTT?
Ocean Power Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9095 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5950, optimistic scenario $1.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ocean Power Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9095, about −59% upside versus a price of $2.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5950, optimistic scenario $1.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Ocean Power Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ocean Power Technologies Inc it is $0.9095 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.20. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ocean Power Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OPTT trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.20, fair value $0.9095, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPTT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9095). For Ocean Power Technologies Inc the two are $1.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ocean Power Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Ocean Power Technologies Inc at about $74.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.20; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9095 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPTT?
Our models span a range for Ocean Power Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $0.5950, base $0.9095, optimistic $1.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ocean Power Technologies Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −147.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPTT from its 52-week high?
Ocean Power Technologies Inc trades at $2.20, about 89% below its 52-week high of $20.95 and 21% above the low of $1.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9095 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ocean Power Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ocean Power Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.20, calculated fair value $0.9095 (−59%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPTT calculated?
We run Ocean Power Technologies Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9095, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ocean Power Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.20. Our model-based fair value is $0.9095, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ocean Power Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.5950 to $1.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ocean Power Technologies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
The market capitalisation of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is $74.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is 21.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Earnings per share at Ocean Power Technologies Inc are $−0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is −147% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is −54.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
The operating margin of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is −1,777% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT)?
Revenue at Ocean Power Technologies Inc is growing −37.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +49.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT) generate?
The free cash flow of Ocean Power Technologies Inc is −$19.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ocean Power Technologies Inc (OPTT) hold?
Ocean Power Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, $4.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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