Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Oriental Hotels Limited ₹64.24, price ₹140, upside -54.1%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹33.82 – ₹195.61 · fair‑value band ₹42.63 – ₹91.29 · the ₹140.00 price screens above the ₹64.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Oriental Hotels Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels and resorts in India and Hong Kong. The company's hotel portfolio includes the Taj Coromandel, Chennai; Taj Fisherman's Cove Resort & Spa, Chennai; Taj Malabar Resort & Spa, Cochin; Vivanta, Coimbatore; The Gateway Hotel, Pasumalai, Madurai; Gateway, Coonoor; and Vivanta, Old Port Road, Mangalore.
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Oriental Hotels Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels and resorts in India and Hong Kong. The company's hotel portfolio includes the Taj Coromandel, Chennai; Taj Fisherman's Cove Resort & Spa, Chennai; Taj Malabar Resort & Spa, Cochin; Vivanta, Coimbatore; The Gateway Hotel, Pasumalai, Madurai; Gateway, Coonoor; and Vivanta, Old Port Road, Mangalore. It provides accommodation, restaurant, food, and catering services. Oriental Hotels Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) currently trades at ₹140.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹64.24, 54.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹76.89 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹140.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹28.59, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹42.63 (bear) to ₹91.29 (bull), the price of ₹140.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Oriental Hotels Limited reported revenue of ₹4.9B in FY2026 versus ₹2.2B in FY2022, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹680M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹25.0B (≈ $260M) · P/E ratio 37.5 · P/S ratio 5.16 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.73 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 13.8% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −54%, ORIENTHOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹42.63Fair Value ₹64.24Bull ₹91.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.56 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−50% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.2% a year for the price.
Compare Oriental Hotels Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 158 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−54.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)37.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.29× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.03× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF30.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹64.24 versus a price of ₹140.00, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORIENTHOT?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Hotels Limited is ₹64.24 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹140.00.
What is the quality score of ORIENTHOT?
Oriental Hotels Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹64.24 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹42.63, optimistic scenario ₹91.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oriental Hotels Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹64.24, about −54% upside versus a price of ₹140.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹42.63, optimistic scenario ₹91.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Oriental Hotels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Oriental Hotels Limited pay a dividend?
Oriental Hotels Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oriental Hotels Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +28.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +33.6 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORIENTHOT use?
Our models discount Oriental Hotels Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oriental Hotels Limited that is +28.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oriental Hotels Limited grew +33.6 % a year. The price currently implies +28.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oriental Hotels Limited (+28.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.29 %: that much free cash flow Oriental Hotels Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oriental Hotels Limited it is ₹64.24 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹140.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oriental Hotels Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, ORIENTHOT trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹140.00, fair value ₹64.24, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORIENTHOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹140.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹64.24). For Oriental Hotels Limited the two are ₹75.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oriental Hotels Limited worth?
The market values Oriental Hotels Limited at about ₹25.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹140.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹64.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORIENTHOT?
Our models span a range for Oriental Hotels Limited: cautious scenario ₹42.63, base ₹64.24, optimistic ₹91.29 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹140.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ORIENTHOT?
Oriental Hotels Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.5 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹64.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 19.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oriental Hotels Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORIENTHOT from its 52-week high?
Oriental Hotels Limited trades at ₹140.00, about 4% below its 52-week high of ₹145.84 and 72% above the low of ₹81.62 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹64.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oriental Hotels Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oriental Hotels Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹140.00, calculated fair value ₹64.24 (−54%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORIENTHOT calculated?
We run Oriental Hotels Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹64.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Oriental Hotels Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹140.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹64.24, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oriental Hotels Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹91.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹42.63 to ₹91.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Oriental Hotels Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The market capitalisation of Oriental Hotels Limited is ₹25.0B (≈ $260M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oriental Hotels Limited is 5.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Hotels Limited are ₹3.73 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The dividend yield of Oriental Hotels Limited is 0.5% (payout 17.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The net margin of Oriental Hotels Limited is 13.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oriental Hotels Limited is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oriental Hotels Limited is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
The operating margin of Oriental Hotels Limited is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Revenue at Oriental Hotels Limited is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT)?
Earnings per share at Oriental Hotels Limited are growing −18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Oriental Hotels Limited (ORIENTHOT) carry?
The net debt of Oriental Hotels Limited is ₹1.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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