Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Osotspa Public Company Limited THB 21.31, price THB 16.40, upside +29.9%, quality 82 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.31 THB – 31.49 THB · fair‑value band 16.42 THB – 26.77 THB · the 16.40 THB price screens below the 21.31 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Osotspa Public Company Limited, along with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes energy drinks and personal care products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through three segments: Beverage, Personal Care, and Others.
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Osotspa Public Company Limited, along with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes energy drinks and personal care products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through three segments: Beverage, Personal Care, and Others. The company offers energy and sport drinks under the M-150, Lipo, Som in Sum, M-Sport, Shark, and White Shark brands; and functional drinks under the C-Vitt, Peptein, Calpis Lacto, One Day Vitamins, and HANGster brands. It also provides baby care products, including baby wash, powder, soap, lotion, oil, shampoo, laundry detergent, and fabric softener, as well as gift sets, dish soap, feminine cleansing, hand foam, hand sanitizer, surface and product cleanser, head to toe wash, and fluoride toothpaste for kids under the Babi Mild brand. In addition, the company offers deodorant, powder, shower, perfume, and lotion products under the Twelve Plus and Exit brands; and healthcare and confectionery products under the Kilane, OLE, and Banner brands. Further, it engages in the manufacture and distribution of glass; distribution of beverage and cullet products; import, retail, and wholesale of beverages; investing in other companies; electronic commerce and education businesses; and sale of herbal products, as well as provides procurement services for raw materials and packaging materials; and marketing, property rental, and research and development services. Osotspa Public Company Limited was founded in 1891 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) currently trades at 16.40 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.31 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 21.11 THB per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 16.40 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.76 THB, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 16.42 THB (bear) to 26.77 THB (bull), the price of 16.40 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Osotspa Public Company Limited reported revenue of 25.6B THB in FY2025 versus 26.8B THB in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7B THB in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 49.3B THB (≈ $1.5B) · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 1.98 · EPS (TTM) 1.19 THB · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 14.3% · Return on equity 21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 30%, OSP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 16.42 THBFair Value 21.31 THBBull 26.77 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2906 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.4% vs 5.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 15%
2025 sits 90% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.2%/yr over ~9Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.8% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Osotspa Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+29.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Osotspa Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSP
Frequently asked questions
Is Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.31 THB versus a price of 16.40 THB, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OSP?
Our model-based fair value for Osotspa Public Company Limited is 21.31 THB (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.40 THB.
What is the quality score of OSP?
Osotspa Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.31 THB (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.42 THB, optimistic scenario 26.77 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Osotspa Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.31 THB, about +30% upside versus a price of 16.40 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.42 THB, optimistic scenario 26.77 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Osotspa Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Osotspa Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Osotspa Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Osotspa Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew 0.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OSP use?
Our models discount Osotspa Public Company Limited at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Osotspa Public Company Limited that is -4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Osotspa Public Company Limited grew 0.0 % a year. The price currently implies -4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Osotspa Public Company Limited (-4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.22 %: that much free cash flow Osotspa Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Osotspa Public Company Limited it is 21.31 THB per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 16.40 THB. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Osotspa Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OSP trades below its calculated fair value: price 16.40 THB, fair value 21.31 THB, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.40 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.31 THB). For Osotspa Public Company Limited the two are 4.91 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Osotspa Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Osotspa Public Company Limited at about 49.3B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 16.40 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 21.31 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSP?
Our models span a range for Osotspa Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 16.42 THB, base 21.31 THB, optimistic 26.77 THB per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 16.40 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OSP?
Osotspa Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 21.31 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.5, P/B 2.9, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of OSP?
The PEG ratio of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 5.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Osotspa Public Company Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 21.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 82/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSP from its 52-week high?
Osotspa Public Company Limited trades at 16.40 THB, about 10% below its 52-week high of 18.30 THB and 20% above the low of 13.62 THB (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.31 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Osotspa Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Osotspa Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 16.40 THB, calculated fair value 21.31 THB (+30%), Quality Score 82/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSP calculated?
We run Osotspa Public Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.31 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Osotspa Public Company Limited currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was 16.40 THB. Our model-based fair value is 21.31 THB, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Osotspa Public Company Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) come from?
Earnings per share at Osotspa Public Company Limited grew +3.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.1 %, EBIT margin +4.5 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Osotspa Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The market capitalisation of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 49.3B THB (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 1.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Earnings per share at Osotspa Public Company Limited are 1.19 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The dividend yield of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 4.9% (payout 67.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The net margin of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 14.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
The operating margin of Osotspa Public Company Limited is 20.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Revenue at Osotspa Public Company Limited is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP)?
Earnings per share at Osotspa Public Company Limited are growing −8.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP) hold?
Osotspa Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 2.5B THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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