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OneSpan Inc (OSPN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of OneSpan Inc $22.75, price $18.01, upside +26.3%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US68287N1000

OI OneSpan Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

OneSpan Inc

OSPN · US

Undervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.

✓Fair value $22.75 · Undervalued (+26%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 28.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.78% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/15)
✓Wide moat 75/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$25.23 $7.30 Fair Value $22.75 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.30 – $25.23 · fair‑value band $15.60 – $32.16 · the $18.01 price screens below the $22.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

OneSpan Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions for security, authentication, identity, electronic signature, and digital workflow products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. It operates through Cybersecurity and Digital Agreements segments.

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OneSpan Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions for security, authentication, identity, electronic signature, and digital workflow products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. It operates through Cybersecurity and Digital Agreements segments. The company offers Cloud Authentication, a cloud-based multifactor authentication solution; Mobile Security Suite, a software development kit that protects mobile transactions; Mobile Application Shielding that protects mobile applications from attacks by malware allowing secure usage of mobile applications even in hostile environments; and authentication servers that securely authenticate users and transactions. The company also provides Authentication Suite, a solution to protect organizations from cyber threats; Digipass Authenticator; and Digipass S3 Authentication software, an authentication platform designed to enable passwordless and phishing-resistant authentication across web and mobile applications. It also provides OneSpan Sign, a range of e-signature requirements for occasional agreement; OneSpan Notary, an online notary solution developed for organizations with in-house notaries; OneSpan Sign Identity Verification that enables banks and financial institutions identity verification services; Onespan Sign Authentication, a configurable authentication option to verify senders and signers by adding layers of security to e-signature transactions; and OneSpan Integration Platform, a platform that enables organizations to integrate e-signatures. It sells its solutions through its direct sales force, distributors, resellers, systems integrators, and original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as VASCO Data Security International, Inc. and changed its name to OneSpan Inc. in August 1997. OneSpan Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

OneSpan Inc (OSPN) currently trades at $18.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.75, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $47.40 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $18.01 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.91, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $15.60 (bear) to $32.16 (bull), the price of $18.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

OneSpan Inc reported revenue of $243M in FY2025 versus $214M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $72.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $693M · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 2.98 · EPS (TTM) $1.81 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 30.0% · Return on equity 27.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 26%, OSPN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $15.60 Fair Value $22.75 Bull $32.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9583 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $15.15 $21.03 $28.84 81
Growth DCF $15.24 $20.34 $26.72 80
Owner Earnings $21.10 $29.61 $40.94 77
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.15 $21.03 $28.84 81
Owner Earnings $21.10 $29.61 $40.94 77
5Y Revenue Exit $14.19 $20.85 $29.24 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.81 $29.48 $41.87 75
5Y P/E Exit $29.09 $48.66 $69.24 70
10Y Revenue Exit $14.12 $19.93 $27.56 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.13 $25.40 $36.35 68
10Y P/E Exit $23.11 $37.56 $55.39 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.37 $41.38 $55.00 65
Lynch FV $8.96 $12.80 $16.64 61
PEG = 1.0 $8.96 $12.80 $16.64 57
EPV $11.63 $12.95 $14.06 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.87 $6.97 $9.60 68
DDM Multi-Stage $3.87 $6.00 $7.45 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $41.30 $55.06 $68.83 63
P/S Multiple $25.07 $33.43 $41.79 58
P/B Multiple $25.07 $33.43 $41.79 55
EV/EBIT $26.21 $34.32 $42.42 66
EV/EBITDA $23.80 $31.10 $38.40 67
EV/Revenue $14.19 $19.46 $24.73 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.67 $4.91 $7.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.24 $20.34 $26.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.19 $20.93 $28.69 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.31 $15.62 $79.24 64
ROIC Compounder $12.17 $14.33 $16.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $33.18 $47.40 $61.62 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 82
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.1% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+34.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.57% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 21%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.6% a year for the price and +0.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)68 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)21 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)56 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fortinet, Inc FTNT $174.26 $164.92 −5%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $409.24 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $77.53 $101.29 +31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.76 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OneSpan Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSPN

Frequently asked questions

Is OneSpan Inc (OSPN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.75 versus a price of $18.01, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OSPN?
Our model-based fair value for OneSpan Inc is $22.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.01.
What is the quality score of OSPN?
OneSpan Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.60, optimistic scenario $32.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OneSpan Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.75, about +26% upside versus a price of $18.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.60, optimistic scenario $32.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
OneSpan Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $246M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does OneSpan Inc pay a dividend?
OneSpan Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OneSpan Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OSPN use?
Our models discount OneSpan Inc at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OneSpan Inc that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OneSpan Inc (OSPN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OneSpan Inc grew +2.4 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OneSpan Inc (OSPN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OneSpan Inc (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.29 %: that much free cash flow OneSpan Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OneSpan Inc it is $22.75 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $18.01. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OneSpan Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OSPN trades below its calculated fair value: price $18.01, fair value $22.75, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSPN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.75). For OneSpan Inc the two are $4.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OneSpan Inc worth?
The market values OneSpan Inc at about $693M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $18.01; our models calculate a fair value of $22.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSPN?
Our models span a range for OneSpan Inc: cautious scenario $15.60, base $22.75, optimistic $32.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $18.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OSPN?
OneSpan Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.5, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 10.1.
What is the PEG ratio of OSPN?
The PEG ratio of OneSpan Inc is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Balance-sheet figures for OneSpan Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSPN from its 52-week high?
OneSpan Inc trades at $18.01, at its 52-week high of $18.01 and 79% above the low of $10.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OneSpan Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OneSpan Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $18.01, calculated fair value $22.75 (+26%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSPN calculated?
We run OneSpan Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. OneSpan Inc currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $18.01. Our model-based fair value is $22.75, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OneSpan Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range ($15.60 to $32.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of OneSpan Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The market capitalisation of OneSpan Inc is $693M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OneSpan Inc is 2.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Earnings per share at OneSpan Inc are $1.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The dividend yield of OneSpan Inc is 2.8% (payout 27.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The net margin of OneSpan Inc is 30.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OneSpan Inc is 27.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OneSpan Inc is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
The operating margin of OneSpan Inc is 22.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Revenue at OneSpan Inc is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OneSpan Inc (OSPN)?
Earnings per share at OneSpan Inc are growing −18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does OneSpan Inc (OSPN) hold?
OneSpan Inc holds more cash than debt, $64.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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