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OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.6B

OH OneSpaWorld Holdings logo OneSpaWorld Holdings OSW · US
Price$26.21
Fair Value$12.48
Upside-52.4%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.68% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $9.15 – $15.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $14.66 to $12.48 (−14.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.68 $6.74 Fair Value $12.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.74 – $28.68 · fair‑value band $9.15 – $15.82 · the $26.21 price screens above the $12.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) currently trades at $26.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.48, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, OneSpaWorld Holdings generated revenue of $989M at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at $86.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.15 (bear case) to $15.82 (bull case); at $26.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -52%, OSW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.40 $17.44 $33.16 80
Residual Income $5.02 $6.15 $14.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.57 $17.80 $34.60 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.06 $15.84 $33.89 38
Owner Earnings $11.31 $25.88 $55.33 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.57 $15.48 $29.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.74 $17.87 $33.73 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.95 $25.37 $45.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.79 $20.15 $27.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.97 $22.61 $45.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $10.83 $25.12 $49.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.80 $33.46 $46.95 54
Lynch FV $12.19 $17.42 $22.64 50
PEG = 1.0 $12.19 $17.42 $22.64 46
EPV $6.38 $7.50 $8.46 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.51 $3.01 $4.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.51 $2.60 $3.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.64 $15.52 $19.40 63
P/S Multiple $8.52 $11.36 $14.20 58
P/B Multiple $9.00 $11.99 $14.99 55
EV/EBIT $10.97 $14.85 $18.72 53
EV/EBITDA $9.34 $12.67 $16.00 54
EV/Revenue $7.18 $10.54 $13.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.67 $3.58 $5.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.40 $17.44 $33.16 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.57 $17.80 $34.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.02 $6.15 $14.16 76
ROIC Compounder $7.41 $10.57 $13.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.00 $22.86 $29.72 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.86) versus Dividend Discount ($2.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $989M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 14.2%
Free cash flow $68.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 34.8
More key figures
Operating margin 9.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.7500
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.3%
Net debt $86.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts in the United States and internationally. It offers massage and body care services and therapies, and aesthetics treatments; medi-spa services; and acupuncture, electric stimulation acupuncture, LED therapy, cupping, posture and gait analysis, and therapy for recovery. The company also provides fitness centers, and personalized training services and consultation; personal nutritional and dietary consultation, weight management, nutrition coaching and detoxification; hot and cold hydro-therapies and related amenities, such as thermal loungers, infrared saunas, snow rooms, laconiums, caldarium chambers, and hammams, as well as cold plunge pools, large therapeutic jacuzzis, and rooms surrounding occupants with layers of body cleansing salt crystals. In addition, the company offers products under the ELEMIS, Grown Alchemist, Kerastase, Keratin Complex, Thermage, Dysport, GoodFeet arch supports, Hyperice, and Megawhite teeth whitening brands. OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited was founded in 2017 and is based in Nassau, Bahamas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OneSpaWorld Holdings reported revenue of $961M in FY2025 versus $144M in FY2021, a compound +60.7%/yr. Reported net income was $71.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$961M
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+51.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +60.7%/yr
FY21 $144M
FY22 $546M
FY23 $794M
FY24 $895M
FY25 $961M
Net income
FY21 −$68.5M
FY22 $53.2M
FY23 −$3.0M
FY24 $72.9M
FY25 $71.6M

OSW screens 52% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OneSpaWorld Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSW

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Leisure · 192 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 38.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 64 · sector 18
PAST 57 · sector 19
HEALTH 92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$74.15 HK$119.29 +61%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$160.20 HK$227.30 +42%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.82 ¥39.17 +4%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 145.70 kr 41.90 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.48 versus a price of $26.21, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSW?
Our model-based fair value for OneSpaWorld Holdings is $12.48 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.21.
What is the quality score of OSW?
OneSpaWorld Holdings has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW)?
OneSpaWorld Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $989M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OSW?
The net profit margin of OneSpaWorld Holdings is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does OneSpaWorld Holdings pay a dividend?
OneSpaWorld Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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