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Otc Markets Group (OTCM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Otc Markets Group $56.40, price $54.50, upside +3.5%, quality 86 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US67106F1084

OM Otc Markets Group logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Otc Markets Group

OTCM · US

Quality WatchlistA strong company, but the current price is close to Fair Value.

·Fair value $56.40 · Fairly valued (+3%)
✓Quality 86/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 27.9% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
·1.54% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
✓Wide moat 92/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$57.44 $33.33 Fair Value $56.40 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $33.33 – $57.44 · fair‑value band $25.21 – $77.88 · the $54.50 price screens below the $56.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

OTC Markets Group Inc. operates regulated markets for trading 12,000 U.S. and international securities. The company's data-driven disclosure standards form the foundation of its four public markets: OTCQX Best Market, OTCQB Venture Market, OTCID Basic Market, and Pink Limited Market.

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OTC Markets Group Inc. operates regulated markets for trading 12,000 U.S. and international securities. The company's data-driven disclosure standards form the foundation of its four public markets: OTCQX Best Market, OTCQB Venture Market, OTCID Basic Market, and Pink Limited Market. Its OTC Link Alternative Trading Systems (ATSs) provides critical market infrastructure that broker-dealers rely on to facilitate trading. The company operates through three business lines: OTC Link, Market Data Licensing, and Corporate Services. The OTC Link operates four ATSs, including OTC Link ATS, OTC Link ECN, OTC Link NQB, and MOON ATS that provide trading services to Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc. member broker-dealer subscribers. The Market Data Licensing provides market data and compliance data, such as SEC filings for a spectrum of securities and issuers. It also offers broker-dealers, investors, traders, institutions, companies, accountants, regulators, and others with a suite of enterprise and user market data licenses offering through direct or extranet connectivity and third-party market data redistributors or order management systems, as well as through its websites. The Corporate Services operates the OTCQX Best Market, the OTCQB Venture Market, and the OTCID Basic Market that offers companies access to a suite of services to facilitate public disclosure and communication with investors, promote transparency, and allow companies to demonstrate regulatory compliance and mitigate market risk. Its services include the OTC Disclosure and News Service, OTCIQ Basic, Real-Time Level 2 Quote Display, Blue Sky Monitoring Service for issuers, and the Virtual Investor Conferences product. OTC Markets Group Inc. was formerly known as Pink OTC Markets Inc and changed its name to OTC Markets Group Inc. in January 2011. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Otc Markets Group (OTCM) currently trades at $54.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.40, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $49.98 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $54.50 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $12.46, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $25.21 (bear) to $77.88 (bull), the price of $54.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Otc Markets Group reported revenue of $125M in FY2025 versus $99.9M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $31.1M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $655M · P/E ratio 20.4 · P/S ratio 5.07 · EPS (TTM) $2.67 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 24.9% · Return on equity 79.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 39.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 3%, OTCM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $25.21 Fair Value $56.40 Bull $77.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.34 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $44.48 $65.90 $95.50 75
Owner Earnings $32.22 $48.56 $72.33 73
Rev-Margin DCF $28.31 $39.75 $54.09 71
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $32.22 $48.56 $72.33 73
5Y P/E Exit $33.66 $49.98 $67.66 68
10Y P/E Exit $37.59 $52.68 $72.15 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $17.58 $71.59 $97.45 64
Lynch FV $17.93 $25.62 $33.31 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.15 $34.52 $47.52 68
DDM Multi-Stage $19.15 $31.53 $36.87 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $25.21 $33.61 $42.01 63
P/B Multiple $3.53 $4.70 $5.88 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.68 $2.25 $3.36 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $44.48 $65.90 $95.50 75
Rev-Margin DCF $28.31 $39.75 $54.09 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.29 $12.46 $54.80 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 86/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 99
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 31%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.1% a year for the price.

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (86 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 55 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 86 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 80% · Top 25%
Return on assets 28% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 16.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 5.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.40× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)38 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)62 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 77
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $152.93 $137.48 −10%
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 0388 HK$397.40 HK$423.67 +7%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €279.90 €224.59 −20%
Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $94.50 $41.12 −56%
MSCI Inc MSCI $548.88 $261.03 −52%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $201.07 $143.58 −29%
Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE $266.83 $247.02 −7%

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Otc Markets Group · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Otc Markets Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTCM

Frequently asked questions

Is Otc Markets Group (OTCM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $56.40 versus a price of $54.50, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OTCM?
Our model-based fair value for Otc Markets Group is $56.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $54.50.
What is the quality score of OTCM?
Otc Markets Group has a Quality Score of 86/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $56.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $25.21, optimistic scenario $77.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Otc Markets Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $56.40, about +3% upside versus a price of $54.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $25.21, optimistic scenario $77.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Otc Markets Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $115M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Otc Markets Group pay a dividend?
Otc Markets Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Otc Markets Group would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OTCM use?
Our models discount Otc Markets Group at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Otc Markets Group that is +1.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Otc Markets Group (OTCM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Otc Markets Group grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies +1.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Otc Markets Group (OTCM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Otc Markets Group (+1.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.39 %: that much free cash flow Otc Markets Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Otc Markets Group it is $56.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $54.50. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Otc Markets Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OTCM trades below its calculated fair value: price $54.50, fair value $56.40, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTCM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($54.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($56.40). For Otc Markets Group the two are $1.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Otc Markets Group worth?
The market values Otc Markets Group at about $655M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $54.50; our models calculate a fair value of $56.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTCM?
Our models span a range for Otc Markets Group: cautious scenario $25.21, base $56.40, optimistic $77.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $54.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTCM?
Otc Markets Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $56.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 16.2, P/S 5.7, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of OTCM?
The PEG ratio of Otc Markets Group is 1.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Otc Markets Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 79.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 86/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTCM from its 52-week high?
Otc Markets Group trades at $54.50, about 3% below its 52-week high of $56.35 and 15% above the low of $47.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $56.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Otc Markets Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value S&P Global Inc, CME Group, Moody's Corporation, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Otc Markets Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $54.50, calculated fair value $56.40 (+3%), Quality Score 86/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTCM calculated?
We run Otc Markets Group through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $56.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Otc Markets Group currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $54.50. Our model-based fair value is $56.40, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Otc Markets Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($25.21 to $77.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Otc Markets Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The market capitalisation of Otc Markets Group is $655M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Otc Markets Group is 5.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Earnings per share at Otc Markets Group are $2.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The dividend yield of Otc Markets Group is 1.5% (payout 31.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The net margin of Otc Markets Group is 24.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Otc Markets Group is 79.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Otc Markets Group is 39.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
The operating margin of Otc Markets Group is 28.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Revenue at Otc Markets Group is growing +12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Otc Markets Group (OTCM)?
Earnings per share at Otc Markets Group are growing +17.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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