OTC Markets Group (OTCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $616M

A strong business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• A high-quality business (quality 86/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
• The model range is unusually wide ($25.21 to $68.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $31.11 – $57.44 · fair‑value band $25.21 – $68.61 · the $55.00 price screens above the $33.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

OTC Markets Group (OTCM) currently trades at $55.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.61, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, OTC Markets Group generated revenue of $115M at a net margin of 27.9%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 79.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.21 (bear case) to $68.61 (bull case); at $55.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -39%, OTCM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($49.98) versus Asset-Based ($2.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

OTC Markets Group Inc. operates regulated markets for trading 12,000 U.S. and international securities. The company's data-driven disclosure standards form the foundation of its four public markets: OTCQX Best Market, OTCQB Venture Market, OTCID Basic Market, and Pink Limited Market.

Full company description

OTC Markets Group Inc. operates regulated markets for trading 12,000 U.S. and international securities. The company's data-driven disclosure standards form the foundation of its four public markets: OTCQX Best Market, OTCQB Venture Market, OTCID Basic Market, and Pink Limited Market. Its OTC Link Alternative Trading Systems (ATSs) provides critical market infrastructure that broker-dealers rely on to facilitate trading. The company operates through three business lines: OTC Link, Market Data Licensing, and Corporate Services. The OTC Link operates four ATSs, including OTC Link ATS, OTC Link ECN, OTC Link NQB, and MOON ATS that provide trading services to Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc. member broker-dealer subscribers. The Market Data Licensing provides market data and compliance data, such as SEC filings for a spectrum of securities and issuers. It also offers broker-dealers, investors, traders, institutions, companies, accountants, regulators, and others with a suite of enterprise and user market data licenses offering through direct or extranet connectivity and third-party market data redistributors or order management systems, as well as through its websites. The Corporate Services operates the OTCQX Best Market, the OTCQB Venture Market, and the OTCID Basic Market that offers companies access to a suite of services to facilitate public disclosure and communication with investors, promote transparency, and allow companies to demonstrate regulatory compliance and mitigate market risk. Its services include the OTC Disclosure and News Service, OTCIQ Basic, Real-Time Level 2 Quote Display, Blue Sky Monitoring Service for issuers, and the Virtual Investor Conferences product. OTC Markets Group Inc. was formerly known as Pink OTC Markets Inc and changed its name to OTC Markets Group Inc. in January 2011. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OTC Markets Group reported revenue of $125M in FY2025 versus $99.9M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $31.1M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.

OTCM screens 39% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.