Outokumpu Oyj (OUT1V) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · FI · Market cap €2.6B

Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• Our model range runs from €3.34 (bear) to €5.28 (bull), base €4.26. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.57 – €6.20 · fair‑value band €3.34 – €5.28 · the €5.31 price screens above the €4.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Outokumpu Oyj (OUT1V) currently trades at €5.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.26, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Outokumpu Oyj generated revenue of €5.4B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at €265M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.34 (bear case) to €5.28 (bull case); at €5.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -20%, OUT1V screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€4.84) versus DCF Models (€2.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Outokumpu Oyj produces and sells various stainless-steel products in Finland, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, other European countries, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Europe, the Americas, Ferrochrome, and Other operations segments.

Full company description

Outokumpu Oyj produces and sells various stainless-steel products in Finland, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, other European countries, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Europe, the Americas, Ferrochrome, and Other operations segments. The company offers cold rolled coils, strips, and sheets; hot rolled coils, strips, and plates; quarto plates; precision strips; and specialized components, such as welded stainless-steel I-beams, H-beams, hollow-section tubes, bent profiles, duprof structural sections, hardened and customized press plates, suction roll shells, and blancs and disks. It also provides stainless steel powder which includes Supra 316L, Dura 17-4PH, Ultra 904L, Therma 253MA, Dura 4116, and Ni-free austenitic stainless-steel powder, ferritic grades as well as tailored product; and nickel-based alloys for environments in the process industry, oil and gas, and electric vehicles. In addition, the company offers cutting, polishing and brushing, welding, machining, plate bending and other services. Further, its products are used in various applications, including commercial kitchens, cooking, food industry, and home appliances; automotive and transportation; building and infrastructure; energy; marine; and heavy industries. Outokumpu Oyj was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Outokumpu Oyj reported revenue of €5.5B in FY2025 versus €7.7B in FY2021, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€137M in FY2025.

OUT1V screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.