Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Okuwa Co., Ltd. $6.39, price $5.09, upside +25.5%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Okuwa Co., Ltd. operates and manages stores in Japan. Its stores offer food, alcoholic beverages, rice, household goods, home furnishings, interior decoration, DIY, leisure goods, sports goods, home appliances, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and clothing products. The company also operates in online shopping business. Okuwa Co., Ltd.
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Okuwa Co., Ltd. operates and manages stores in Japan. Its stores offer food, alcoholic beverages, rice, household goods, home furnishings, interior decoration, DIY, leisure goods, sports goods, home appliances, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and clothing products. The company also operates in online shopping business. Okuwa Co., Ltd. was founded in 1938 and is based in Wakayama, Japan.
Stock analysis
Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) currently trades at $5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.39, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $29.30 per share, and 16 of the 21 models we run sit above the $5.09 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.39, and 5 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Okuwa Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥253B in FY2026 versus ¥267B in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥264M in FY2026, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $207M · P/E ratio 127.3 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 26%, OWWAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.39Fair Value $6.39Bull $6.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 120 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+26% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
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Is Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.39 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $5.09, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OWWAF?
Our model-based fair value for Okuwa Co., Ltd. is $6.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $5.09.
What is the quality score of OWWAF?
Okuwa Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 21 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Okuwa Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.39, about +26% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $5.09 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Okuwa Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥253B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Okuwa Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Okuwa Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Okuwa Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -1.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OWWAF use?
Our models discount Okuwa Co., Ltd. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Okuwa Co., Ltd. that is -10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Okuwa Co., Ltd. grew -1.3 % a year. The price currently implies -10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Okuwa Co., Ltd. (-10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.22 %: that much free cash flow Okuwa Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Okuwa Co., Ltd. it is $6.39 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.09. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Okuwa Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OWWAF trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.09, fair value $6.39, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OWWAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.39). For Okuwa Co., Ltd. the two are $1.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Okuwa Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Okuwa Co., Ltd. at about $207M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.09; our models calculate a fair value of $6.39 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of OWWAF?
Okuwa Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 127.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Okuwa Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OWWAF from its 52-week high?
Okuwa Co., Ltd. trades at $5.09, about 14% below its 52-week high of $5.89 and at the low of $5.09 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Okuwa Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Okuwa Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.09, calculated fair value $6.39 (+26%), Quality Score 69/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OWWAF calculated?
We run Okuwa Co., Ltd. through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Okuwa Co., Ltd. currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $5.09. Our model-based fair value is $6.39, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Okuwa Co., Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Okuwa Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The market capitalisation of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is $207M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 0.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Earnings per share at Okuwa Co., Ltd. are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 127.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The dividend yield of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The net margin of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 0.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
The operating margin of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Revenue at Okuwa Co., Ltd. is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF)?
Earnings per share at Okuwa Co., Ltd. are growing +77.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Okuwa Co., Ltd. (OWWAF) carry?
The net debt of Okuwa Co., Ltd. is ¥10.4B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026