Okuwa Co (OWWAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $207M
Okuwa Co
OWWAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $3.58 to $1.91 (−46.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range $5.09 – $5.89 · fair‑value band $1.66 – $2.12 · the $5.09 price screens above the $1.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Okuwa Co (OWWAF) currently trades at $5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.91, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Okuwa Co generated revenue of $253B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at $10.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.66 (bear case) to $2.12 (bull case); at $5.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -62%, OWWAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($8.72) versus Earnings-Based ($0.4156). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Okuwa Co., Ltd. operates and manages stores in Japan. Its stores offer food, alcoholic beverages, rice, household goods, home furnishings, interior decoration, DIY, leisure goods, sports goods, home appliances, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and clothing products. The company also operates in online shopping business. Okuwa Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Okuwa Co., Ltd. operates and manages stores in Japan. Its stores offer food, alcoholic beverages, rice, household goods, home furnishings, interior decoration, DIY, leisure goods, sports goods, home appliances, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and clothing products. The company also operates in online shopping business. Okuwa Co., Ltd. was founded in 1938 and is based in Wakayama, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Okuwa Co reported revenue of $253B in FY2026 versus $267B in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $264M in FY2026, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2022.
OWWAF screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
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| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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