OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OZATA DENIZCILIK stock TRY 52.05, price TRY 173, upside -69.9%, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range 69.80 TRY – 4,980 TRY · fair‑value band 32.45 TRY – 52.05 TRY · the 172.70 TRY price screens above the 52.05 TRY fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Özata Denizcilik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi provides ship repair services in Türkiye.
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The company offers dry docking and afloat, blasting and painting, steel construction and pipe renewals, propeller shaft and rudder systems, engine and machinery overhaul, deck and safety work, and hatch cover and outfitting repair services.
It also provides electrical, automation, and navigation equip services, as well as upgrade services, such as refit, retrofit, and conversion services. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Yalova, Türkiye.
Stock analysis
OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD) currently trades at 172.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.05 TRY, 69.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 40.72 TRY per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 172.70 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.16 TRY, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 32.45 TRY (bear) to 52.05 TRY (bull), the price of 172.70 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
OZATA DENIZCILIK reported revenue of 2.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 895M TRY in FY2021, a compound +28.7%/yr. Reported net income was −127M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 13.7B TRY (≈ $274M) Micro · P/S ratio 5.60 · EPS (TTM) −6.82 TRY · Net margin −17.6% · Return on equity −10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin −32.5% · Revenue (TTM) 2.4B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 97% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −70%, OZATD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear32.45 TRYFair Value 52.05 TRYBull52.05 TRY
Price 172.70 TRY · Upside -69.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.1% (2021) → 5.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−69.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−17.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−32.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−25.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)5.60× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA52.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)84· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OZATA DENIZCILIK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OZATD
Frequently asked questions
Is OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 52.05 TRY versus a price of 172.70 TRY, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OZATD?
Our model-based fair value for OZATA DENIZCILIK is 52.05 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 172.70 TRY.
What is the quality score of OZATD?
OZATA DENIZCILIK has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 52.05 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 32.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 52.05 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OZATA DENIZCILIK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 52.05 TRY, about −70% upside versus a price of 172.70 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 32.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 52.05 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
OZATA DENIZCILIK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OZATA DENIZCILIK it is 52.05 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 172.70 TRY. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OZATA DENIZCILIK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, OZATD trades above its calculated fair value: price 172.70 TRY, fair value 52.05 TRY, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OZATD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (172.70 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (52.05 TRY). For OZATA DENIZCILIK the two are 120.65 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OZATA DENIZCILIK worth?
The market values OZATA DENIZCILIK at about 13.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 172.70 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 52.05 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OZATD?
Our models span a range for OZATA DENIZCILIK: cautious scenario 32.45 TRY, base 52.05 TRY, optimistic 52.05 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 172.70 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Balance-sheet figures for OZATA DENIZCILIK (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −10.4%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OZATD from its 52-week high?
OZATA DENIZCILIK trades at 172.70 TRY, about 97% below its 52-week high of 4,980 TRY and 13% above the low of 153.40 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 52.05 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OZATA DENIZCILIK?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OZATA DENIZCILIK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 172.70 TRY, calculated fair value 52.05 TRY (−70%), Quality Score 20/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OZATD calculated?
We run OZATA DENIZCILIK through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 52.05 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. OZATA DENIZCILIK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 172.70 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 52.05 TRY, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OZATA DENIZCILIK right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (52.05 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of OZATA DENIZCILIK
How large is the market capitalisation of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The market capitalisation of OZATA DENIZCILIK is 13.7B TRY (≈ $274M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OZATA DENIZCILIK is 5.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Earnings per share at OZATA DENIZCILIK are −6.82 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The net margin of OZATA DENIZCILIK is −17.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OZATA DENIZCILIK is −10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OZATA DENIZCILIK is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
The operating margin of OZATA DENIZCILIK is −32.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Revenue at OZATA DENIZCILIK is growing −25.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD)?
Earnings per share at OZATA DENIZCILIK are growing +74.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD) generate?
The free cash flow of OZATA DENIZCILIK is −590M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OZATA DENIZCILIK (OZATD) carry?
The net debt of OZATA DENIZCILIK is 1.9B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 30, 2026