Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. operates as a real estate investment trust in Turkey. It designs projects in the real estate property sector in the areas of land improvement, project design, and urban transformation, as well as focuses on the housing sector. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) currently trades at 2.04 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.32 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 6.72 TRY per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2.04 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 1.20 TRY, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.61 TRY (bear) to 4.18 TRY (bull), the price of 2.04 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 217M TRY in FY2025 versus 94.5M TRY in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was 70.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding −41.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B TRY (≈ $42.0M) · P/E ratio 40.8 · P/S ratio 13.2 · EPS (TTM) 0.0500 TRY · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 32.5% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 63%, OZGYO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.61 TRYFair Value 3.32 TRYBull 4.18 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0233 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+92.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.4%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−43.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−43.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 36%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.8%/yr over ~6Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 46 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+63% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)34% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth41% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OZGYO
Frequently asked questions
Is Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.32 TRY versus a price of 2.04 TRY, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OZGYO?
Our model-based fair value for Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 3.32 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.04 TRY.
What is the quality score of OZGYO?
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.32 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.61 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.18 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.32 TRY, about +63% upside versus a price of 2.04 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.61 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.18 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 237M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS pay a dividend?
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.4 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OZGYO use?
Our models discount Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.37, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS grew +21.4 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.52 %: that much free cash flow Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 3.32 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 2.04 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OZGYO trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.04 TRY, fair value 3.32 TRY, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OZGYO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.04 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.32 TRY). For Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 1.28 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 2.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 2.04 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.32 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OZGYO?
Our models span a range for Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 2.61 TRY, base 3.32 TRY, optimistic 4.18 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 2.04 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OZGYO?
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.32 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 0.3, P/S 8.8, EV/EBITDA 22.6.
What is the PEG ratio of OZGYO?
The PEG ratio of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OZGYO from its 52-week high?
Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 2.04 TRY, about 24% below its 52-week high of 2.70 TRY and 13% above the low of 1.80 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.32 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value AvalonBay Communities, Inc, EQR, Essex Property Trust, Inc, Invitation Homes, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 2.04 TRY, calculated fair value 3.32 TRY (+63%), Quality Score 60/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OZGYO calculated?
We run Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.32 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 2.04 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.32 TRY, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.61 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The market capitalisation of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 2.0B TRY (≈ $42.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 13.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Earnings per share at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are 0.0500 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The dividend yield of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 0.8% (payout 34.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The net margin of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 32.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
The operating margin of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 34.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Revenue at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing +41.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO)?
Earnings per share at Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing −88.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZGYO) carry?
The net debt of Ozderici Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 10.2M TRY (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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