Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. (OZRDN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 2.1B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price +6.4% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.90 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (11.40 TRY to 20.90 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 8.74 TRY – 38.68 TRY · fair‑value band 11.40 TRY – 20.90 TRY · the 27.90 TRY price screens above the 16.15 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.
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Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. (OZRDN) currently trades at 27.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.15 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 42.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. generated revenue of 540M TRY at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 25.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.40 TRY (bear case) to 20.90 TRY (bull case); at 27.90 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 229% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -42%, OZRDN screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. produces and sells packaging and insulation products worldwide. The company offers thermal insulation packaging products, such as thermo airsafe, thermo mailer, thermo bag, thermo pharma, thermo boxliner, thermo cover, and thermo liner products; in-the-box protection products under the Papersafe, Airsafe, Ranpak, Airbed, and …
Full company description
Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. produces and sells packaging and insulation products worldwide. The company offers thermal insulation packaging products, such as thermo airsafe, thermo mailer, thermo bag, thermo pharma, thermo boxliner, thermo cover, and thermo liner products; in-the-box protection products under the Papersafe, Airsafe, Ranpak, Airbed, and Chocolate Pad names; and protective packaging products comprising poly bubble mailers, PE foam rolls and pouches and sheets, and supplementary products, as well as packaging products under the Netkraft and Balondüla names. It also provides radiant barrier and breathable membranes, and vapour control layers, as well as waterproofing membranes and reflective thermal insulation. In addition, the company provides solutions for household furniture; e-commerce, fulfillment, and 3PL; cosmetic, chemical product, and pharmaceutical; industrial product and spare part; logistics and storage; and food industry. The company was formerly known as Özerden Plastik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. in July 2023. Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years
Özerden Ambalaj Sanayi A.S. reported revenue of 59.6M TRY in FY2019 versus 26.2M TRY in FY2015, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was −5.6M TRY in FY2019.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $45.39 | $26.28 | -42% |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$52.87 | A$26.00 | -51% |
| Packaging Corporation P1KG34 | R$572.23 | R$272.73 | -52% |
| International Paper Company I1PC34 | R$170.68 | R$84.00 | -51% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$146.83 | R$18.44 | -87% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 | R$405.00 | R$236.39 | -42% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 104.70 | kr 10.54 | -90% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥33.57 | ¥23.95 | -29% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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